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Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Buffalo is likely to fail on the road with a 87.3% chance of being correct against Penn State.
On the road, Buffalo is forecast to score 20.0 points against Penn State. Our model forecasts Buffalo will pass for 0.3 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the Penn State defense on a forecasted 4.1 competitions with 12.2 attempts for 41.1 yards. Buffalo is predicted to run for 189.7 yards on 46.8 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.
At home, Penn State is forecast to score 39.5 points. Penn State is expected to throw for 2.0 touchdowns with 33.5 pass attempts with 25.2 competitions for 313.1 yards, and an estimated 0.5 interceptions. The model estimates Penn State will run on 57.8 attempts against Buffalo with an estimated total of 356.5 yards and 2.8 rushing touchdowns.
An estimated 72.3% likelihood to beat a +29.5 point spread, the best value is on Buffalo in their matchup against Penn State. With an over/under of 56.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 81.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST