Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto
2019-12-21 -- The Buccaneers change of losing to the Texans is 50.5% based on our model.
The Buccaneers have an average of 19.4 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Texans defense on a projected 26.7 competitions with 43.8 attempts for 302.2 passing yards. The Buccaneers are forecast to rush for 101.9 yards on 22.3 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, the Texans have an average of 19.8 points for the game. The Texans are predicted from the model to throw for 285.6 yards on 40.2 attempts for 24.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. The Texans are predicted to run for 118.2 yards on 29.5 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.
Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for the Texans (-2.5) at the Buccaneers game. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 61.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 51.5 runs.
Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC