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Broncos Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Raiders

Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-12-29 -- The Snoozle model estimates the Broncos have an estimated 54.4% likelihood of defeating the Raiders.

In their hometown, the Broncos are forecast to score 19.9 points. The Broncos are estimated from the model to throw for 253.1 yards on 40.1 attempts for 26.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. The Broncos are forecast to rush for 123.5 yards on 27.8 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Raiders have an average of 17.3 points for the game. The Raiders are predicted from the model to throw for 251.5 yards on 37.2 attempts for 22.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The Raiders are estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against Broncos with 26.4 rush attempts for 128.2 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for the Raiders (+3.5) at the Broncos game. With an over/under of 41.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 65.7% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC