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Brewers Hurler Zach Davies Forecasted Loser at Home Against Cubs

Fri, Sep 6, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Cole Hamels
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 6, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Brewers are predicted with a 63.17% to lose at home against the Cubs.

Likely starting pitcher Zach Davies for the Brewers will be matched up with the Cubs probable starter Cole Hamels. Zach Davies is estimated from the model to throw for 6.305 innings, allowing 2.665 earned runs, with 6.288 Ks. Cole Hamels is estimated to have 2.149 earned runs, 22.175 outs, and 6.618 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Ryan Braun and Willson Contreras from Brewers and Cubs, respectively. The Brewers's Ryan Braun RF is estimated to score 0.447 runs, 0.603 RBIs and have a 0.312 OBP. According to our game model, Willson Contreras is estimated to have 0.699 RBIs and score 0.555 runs over an estimated 3.937 at-bats.

According to the -120 ML away odds and an predicted 63.17% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 57.59% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 6, 2019 13:05:02 UTC