Brewers's Starting Hurler Jordan Lyles with a Predicted Home Win Over the Padres

Thu, Sep 19, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jordan Lyles of the Colorado Rockies, July 31, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 19, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Keston Hiura and Manny Machado, our model estimates the Brewers have an estimated 59.74% likelihood of defeating the Padres.

Likely starting pitcher Jordan Lyles for the Brewers will be matched up with the Padres probable starter Joey Lucchesi. The Brewers starting hurler is predicted to throw for 23.175 outs, allow 1.583 earned runs, and a 0.043 probability of a complete game. The Padres's Joey Lucchesi is predicted to throw for 6.847 innings, allowing 1.804 earned runs, with 7.485 Ks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Mike Moustakas and Francisco Mejia from Brewers and Padres, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Moustakas 3B is predicted to have 0.558 RBIs and score 0.577 runs over an estimated 4.218 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Francisco Mejia is predicted to bat for 0.223 with 0.397 RBIs and 0.311 run scored.

There is no best value for Padres +135 at Brewers -154 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With a predicted 72.61% likelihood and -109 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 19, 2019 13:03:27 UTC