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Braves Forecasted to Lose at Home to Phillies Despite Freddie Freeman's Effort
Mon, Sep 9, 2019 | Emma Botos
Mike Foltynewicz signs autographs at a Houston sports collectors show in January 2014.
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September 9, 2019 -- On the road, the Braves has a 50.60% chance to lose to the Phillies from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Likely visiting starter Mike Foltynewicz will will duel it out with the Phillies probable starter Aaron Nola. The Braves starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.959 outs, allow 2.886 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.549 innings, allowing 2.562 earned runs, with a 3.176 walks.
The Braves's Freddie Freeman and the Phillies's Corey Dickerson will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Freddie Freeman 1B is predicted to bat for 0.283 with 0.716 RBIs and 0.719 runs scored. The Phillies's Corey Dickerson is estimated to score 0.672 runs, 0.813 RBIs and have a 0.328 OBP.
The Braves are the best value for the money line based on the +123 odds and a forecasted 49.40% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 59.50% likelihood and -116 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Mon, September 9, 2019 13:03:53 UTC