Braves's Starting Hurler Mike Foltynewicz with a Forecasted Win Over the Mets

Sat, Sep 28, 2019 | Emma Botos


Mike Foltynewicz signs autographs at a Houston sports collectors show in January 2014.
EricEnfermero License

September 28, 2019 -- The Braves with a 55.07% forecasted chance to beat the Mets on the road based on the Snoozle model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Braves, Mike Foltynewicz, will be paired with the hosting Mets's pitcher Steven Matz. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.661 innings, allowing 2.385 earned runs, with 2.657 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Steven Matz will have 2.757 earned runs, a predicted 20.964 outs, and 6.501 strike outs.

Freddie Freeman, Braves's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Pete Alonso in today's game. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B from the plate is forecast to score 0.759 runs, 0.727 RBIs and have a 0.387 OBP. The Mets's Pete Alonso is estimated to score 0.761 run, 0.721 RBIs and have a 0.349 OBP.

For this game the Braves are the best value on the money line bets with on the -102 away odds and a predicted 55.07% likelihood to win. Based on the prediction model's over 56.98% likelihood and +101 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 28, 2019 13:05:13 UTC