Braves's Starting Hurler Josh Tomlin with a Forecasted Win Over the Royals

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Josh Tomlin
Keith Allison on Flickr License

September 25, 2019 -- According to our model, the Braves predicted to over perform on the road against the Royals with a 90.18% chance to win.

This game is a match up between the Braves's Josh Tomlin and the Royals's Mike Montgomery. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 7.381 innings, allowing 1.426 earned runs, with 2.020 walks. Mike Montgomery is estimated from the model to throw for 5.885 innings, allowing 3.895 earned runs, with 6.808 Ks.

The Braves's Adam Duvall and the Royals's Jorge Soler will slug it out from the plate. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Adam Duvall is predicted to bat for 0.296 with 1.268 RBIs and 0.916 runs scored. According to our game model, Jorge Soler RF is estimated to bring in 0.455 RBIs and 0.463 runs scored, with an 0.278 OBP and 1.151 K.

With -200 money line odds and a estimated 90.18% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Braves over the Royals. According to prediction model the 54.99% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC