Blue Jays Forecasted to Lose at Home to Yankees Despite Bo Bichette's Effort

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos


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September 22, 2019 -- On the road, the Blue Jays has a 66.78% chance to lose to the Yankees from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, Trent Thornton, will be paired with the hosting Yankees's pitcher Luis Severino. The Blue Jays's Trent Thornton is predicted to throw for 6.114 innings, allowing 3.465 earned runs, with 6.469 Ks. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.662 innings, allowing 2.367 earned runs, with a 3.124 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Bo Bichette and Giovanny Urshela from Blue Jays and Yankees, respectively. According to our game model, Bo Bichette is estimated to have 0.558 RBIs and score 0.723 runs over an estimated 4.587 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Giovanny Urshela is predicted to have 0.828 RBIs and score 0.722 runs over an estimated 4.198 at-bats.

For this game the Blue Jays are the best value on the money line bets with on the +267 away odds and a predicted 33.22% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 67.72% over estimate and -117 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC