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Blue Jays Forecasted to Lose at Home to Yankees Despite Bo Bichette's Effort

Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos

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James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 21, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Blue Jays have a 62.88% chance to lose to the home town Yankees.

On the mound for the Blue Jays will be T.J. Zeuch matched up against James Paxton. The Blue Jays's T.J. Zeuch is predicted to throw for 6.185 innings, allowing 3.359 earned runs, with 6.279 Ks. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.610 innings, allowing 2.469 earned runs, with a 3.207 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Bo Bichette and Giovanny Urshela from Blue Jays and Yankees, respectively. According to our game model, Bo Bichette is estimated to have 0.571 RBIs and score 0.747 runs over an estimated 4.626 at-bats. According to our game model, Giovanny Urshela is estimated to bring in 0.815 RBIs and 0.728 runs scored, with an 0.381 OBP and 0.772 Ks.

According to the +266 ML away odds and an predicted 37.12% chance to win, the Blue Jays are the best value for the money line. Based on the prediction model's over 68.22% likelihood and -112 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 13:05:16 UTC