Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Rob Otto
2020-10-04 -- The Bills with a 49.9% forecasted chance to beat the Raiders on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, the Bills have an average of 20.6 points for the game. The Bills are predicted from the model to throw for 254.7 yards on 39.4 attempts for 25.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 2.1 interception. The model predicts the Bills will rush on 25.4 attempts against the Raiders with an estimated total of 106.7 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.
At home, the Raiders are forecast to score 18.9 points. Our model forecasts the Raiders will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Bills defense on a projected 24.2 competitions with 41.8 attempts for 295.8 passing yards. The Raiders are predicted from the model to run for 0.5 touchdowns against Bills with 25.7 rush attempts for 97.5 yards.
According to the odds and a forecasted 53.6% chance to beat the +3.0 point spread, the Raiders are the best value. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 63.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 53.0 runs.
Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:08:09 UTC