Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto
2019-12-23 -- The Bears under perform at home with a 63.3% chance to lose against the Chiefs based on our football model.
The Bears have an average of 14.0 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts the Bears will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 2.3 interceptions against the Chiefs defense on a projected 23.0 competitions with 40.9 attempts for 222.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Bears will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 21.6 attempts for a projected 71.6 yards.
The Snoozle model forecast the Chiefs to score 19.5 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Chiefs will throw 25.6 competitions on 45.5 attempts against the Bears with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 259.5 yards and 1.3 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 27.6 attempts for a projected 144.5 yards.
Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for the Chiefs (-5.0) at the Bears game. The over/under line of 45.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 56.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC