Bears Forecasted to Lose at Home to Odds Underdog Broncos

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-15 -- On the road, the Bears has a 97.2% chance to lose to the Broncos from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Bears have an average of 5.5 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Bears will throw 13.2 competitions on 29.4 attempts against the Broncos with a forecasted 0.6 interceptions for a total of 152.9 yards and 0.4 touchdowns. The Bears are estimated from the model to rush for 0.0 touchdowns against Broncos with 11.2 rush attempts for 11.6 yards.

At home, the Broncos are forecast to score 33.4 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Broncos will throw 16.4 competitions on 31.1 attempts against the Bears with an estimated 0.4 interceptions for a total of 244.2 yards and 1.8 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Broncos will rush for 2.4 touchdowns against the Bears defense on 63.8 attempts for a projected 386.8 yards.

For this game Broncos are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 97.6% chance to beat a +1.5 spread. With an over/under of 40.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 75.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 21:04:32 MST