Bears Expected Loser at Home Against Vikings

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-29 -- The Bears under perform at home with a 79.7% chance to lose against the Vikings based on our football model.

In their hometown, the Bears are forecast to score 8.0 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Bears will throw 18.4 competitions on 38.8 attempts against the Vikings with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 154.1 yards and 0.5 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Bears will rush for 0.1 touchdown against the Vikings defense on 15.4 attempts for a projected 55.0 yards.

On the road, the Vikings are forecast to score 18.9 points against Bears. Our model forecasts Vikings will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Bears defense on a forecasted 30.3 competitions with 44.4 attempts for 273.8 yards. The Vikings are estimated from the model to rush for 0.7 touchdowns against Bears with 33.6 rush attempts for 152.7 yards.

For this game, the Vikings are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 79.7% probability to beat the +2.0 point spread. The over/under line of 38.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 57.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 07:29:32 MST