At-Home Underdog UL Monroe Forecasted Winner Over Arkansas State

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- UL Monroe likely winner at home over Arkansas State with a 62.0% of being correct based on our model.

In their hometown, UL Monroe is forecast to score 30.8 points. Our model forecasts UL Monroe will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Arkansas State defense on a projected 22.9 competitions with 36.9 attempts for 251.6 passing yards. UL Monroe is forecast to rush for 277.4 yards on 40.6 attempts with an estimated 1.9 rushing touchdowns.

Arkansas State is predicted to score 24.2 points against their opponent. Arkansas State is predicted from the model to throw for 303.1 yards on 38.8 attempts for 25.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas State will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the UL Monroe defense on 34.5 attempts for a projected 191.2 yards.

With an estimated 63.4% likelihood to pass a +2.0 spread, the best value is on UL Monroe over Arkansas State against the spread. The over/under line of 67.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC