At-Home Underdog Coastal Carolina Forecasted Winner Over Arkansas State

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- Coastal Carolina is predicted to win over the visiting Arkansas State based a 98.6% win prediction from the football model.

In their hometown, Coastal Carolina is forecast to score 56.3 points. Coastal Carolina is estimated from the model to throw for 547.9 yards on 36.7 attempts for 21.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 4.6 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions. The model estimates Coastal Carolina will run on 71.3 attempts against Arkansas State with an estimated total of 323.8 yards and 2.2 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Arkansas State has an average of 9.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts Arkansas State will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Coastal Carolina defense on a forecasted 18.7 competitions with 35.1 attempts for 195.8 yards. Arkansas State is predicted to run for 119.2 yards on 23.0 attempts with an estimated 0.4 touchdowns.

With an estimated 98.9% likelihood to pass a +3.0 spread, the best value is on Coastal Carolina over Arkansas State against the spread. With an over/under of 65.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 73.3% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC