At-Home Underdog Arizona Forecasted Winner Over Colorado

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-05 -- Arizona has a 50.9% chance of winning at home against Colorado according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

Arizona has an average of 37.6 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Arizona will throw 36.1 competitions on 39.6 attempts against Colorado with an estimated 2.1 interception for a total of 415.2 yards and 3.2 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Arizona will run on 40.1 attempts against Colorado with an estimated total of 210.1 yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns.

Colorado is estimated to score 36.9 points on the road. Colorado is predicted from the model to throw for 437.5 yards on 39.3 attempts for 36.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.3 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Colorado will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Arizona defense on 38.7 attempts for a projected 189.3 yards.

With an estimated 60.0% likelihood to pass a +7.5 spread, the best value is on Arizona over Colorado against the spread. With an over/under of 58.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 94.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC