Astros Led By Pitcher Zack Greinke at Home Expected to Beat the Nationals

Wed, Oct 30, 2019 | Emma Botos


Max Scherzer
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

October 30, 2019 -- The Astros likely winner at home over the Nationals with a 53.78% of being correct based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Astros's Zack Greinke and the Nationals's Max Scherzer. Zack Greinke is estimated from the model to throw for 6.706 innings, allowing 2.368 earned runs, with 5.977 Ks. The Nationals's Max Scherzer is predicted to throw for 6.716 innings, allowing 2.304 earned runs, with 5.433 Ks.

The Astros's Yordan Alvarez and the Nationals's Anthony Rendon will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 0.663 RBIs and score 0.592 runs over an estimated 3.798 at-bats. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon from the plate is forecast to score 0.636 runs, 0.581 RBIs and have a 0.361 OBP.

The Nationals are the best value for the money line based on the +125 odds and a forecasted 46.22% win estimate. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.14% over likelihood and +100 odds.

Posted at Wed, October 30, 2019 13:01:28 UTC