Astros Led By Pitcher Justin Verlander at Home Expected to Beat the Rays

Fri, Oct 4, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Tyler Glasnow.
D. Benjamin Miller License

October 4, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Astros have a 65.21% winning against the Rays in a projected matchup between pitchers Justin Verlander and Tyler Glasnow.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Astros's Justin Verlander and the Rays's Tyler Glasnow. Justin Verlander is estimated from the model to throw for 7.627 innings, allowing 1.080 earned runs, with 5.960 Ks. Tyler Glasnow is estimated to have 1.630 earned runs, 23.231 outs, and 5.818 strike outs.

Yordan Alvarez, Astros's top hitter, will slug it out against Travis d'Arnaud in today's game. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to bring in 0.591 RBIs and 0.490 runs scored, with an 0.332 OBP and 1.029 Ks. Travis d'Arnaud is forecast to bring in 0.411 RBIs and 0.284 runs scored, with an 0.202 OBP and 0.000 Ks.

With +194 money line odds and a estimated 34.79% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Rays over the Astros. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 73.96% over estimate and +102 line odds for 7.0 runs.

Posted at Fri, October 4, 2019 13:05:09 UTC