Astros Led By Pitcher Justin Verlander at Home Expected to Beat the Athletics

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos


Homer Bailey
Keith Allison from Owings Mills, USA License

September 12, 2019 -- The Astros are forecasted to win over the visiting Athletics based a 88.28% win prediction from the MLB model.

On the mound for the Astros will be Justin Verlander paired against Homer Bailey. Justin Verlander is estimated from the model to throw for 7.619 innings, allowing 1.057 earned runs, with 6.662 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Athletics pitcher will have an outing for 6.045 innings, allowing 3.591 earned runs, with 3.571 walk.

Hitters Yordan Alvarez from the Astros and Matt Olson from the Athletics will lead the offense for their teams. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 1.130 RBIs and score 0.892 runs over an estimated 4.187 at-bats. Matt Olson is forecast to bring in 0.369 RBIs and 0.316 runs scored, with an 0.244 OBP and 1.003 Ks.

For this matchup Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -278 home ML odds and a forecasted 88.28% chance to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 44.85% over estimate and +123 line odds for 8.5 runs.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC