Astros's Starting Hurler Zack Greinke with a Predicted Home Win Over the Angels

Fri, Sep 20, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 20, 2019 -- The Astros have a 78.82% chance of winning at home against the Angels according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

The hosting Astros have Zack Greinke in the rotation against the Angels's pitcher Jaime Barria. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zack Greinke will have 1.904 earned runs, a predicted 22.693 outs, and 5.143 strike outs. The Angels starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.826 outs, allow 3.499 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Kole Calhoun. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bat for 0.323 with 1.085 RBIs and 0.901 run scored. Kole Calhoun is forecast to bring in 0.507 RBIs and 0.449 runs scored, with an 0.295 OBP and 1.123 Ks.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -345 odds and a predicted 78.82% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 64.99% likelihood and -147 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, September 20, 2019 13:04:35 UTC