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Astros's Starting Hurler Zack Greinke with a Predicted Home Win Over the Angels

Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 23, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Abraham Toro and Mike Trout, our model estimates the Astros have an estimated 78.32% likelihood of defeating the Angels.

Probable starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jose Suarez duel it out for the Astros and Angels, respectively. Zack Greinke is estimated from the model to throw for 6.660 innings, allowing 2.397 earned runs, with 6.297 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Angels pitcher will have an outing for 5.770 innings, allowing 4.249 earned runs, with 3.540 walks.

The Astros's Yordan Alvarez and the Angels's Brian Goodwin will duel it out from the batter's box. The Astros's Yordan Alvarez is estimated to score 1.101 run, 1.378 RBIs and have a 0.464 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Brian Goodwin is predicted to bat for 0.269 with 0.510 RBIs and 0.443 runs scored.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -300 odds and a predicted 78.32% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 73.73% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC