Astros's Starting Hurler Justin Verlander with a Predicted Home Win Over the Yankees

Sun, Oct 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

October 13, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters George Springer and Brett Gardner, our model estimates the Astros have an estimated 80.32% likelihood of defeating the Yankees.

Likely starting pitcher Justin Verlander for the Astros will be matched up with the Yankees probable starter James Paxton. Justin Verlander is estimated from the model to throw for 7.465 innings, allowing 1.296 earned runs, with 7.009 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.255 innings, allowing 3.157 earned runs, with 3.375 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Yordan Alvarez and Aaron Judge from Astros and Yankees, respectively. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bat for 0.297 with 0.939 RBIs and 0.794 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Aaron Judge is predicted to bat for 0.188 with 0.355 RBIs and 0.392 runs scored.

For this matchup Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -161 home ML odds and a forecasted 80.32% chance to win. According to prediction model the 65.18% over estimate and -111 line odds for 7.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, October 13, 2019 13:00:57 UTC