Astros's Starting Hurler Gerrit Cole with a Predicted Home Win Over the Rays

Thu, Oct 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Tyler Glasnow.
D. Benjamin Miller License

October 10, 2019 -- The Astros likely winner at home over the Rays with a 62.44% of being correct based on our model.

The hosting Astros have Gerrit Cole in the rotation against the Rays's pitcher Tyler Glasnow. The Astros starting hurler is predicted to throw for 23.810 outs, allow 1.369 earned runs, and a 0.071 probability of a complete game. The Rays starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.699 outs, allow 1.877 earned runs, and a 0.028 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Austin Meadows. The Astros's Yordan Alvarez is estimated to score 0.518 runs, 0.600 RBIs and have a 0.326 OBP. According to our game model, Austin Meadows is estimated to have 0.365 RBIs and score 0.450 runs over an estimated 4.192 at-bats.

With +229 money line odds and a estimated 37.56% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Rays over the Astros. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 61.88% over estimate and -105 line odds for 7.0 runs.

Posted at Thu, October 10, 2019 13:03:02 UTC