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Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- Arkansas State is predicted to win over the visiting SMU based a 66.8% win prediction from the football model.
At home, Arkansas State is forecast to score 23.4 points. Our model forecasts Arkansas State will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the SMU defense on a projected 26.7 competitions with 42.9 attempts for 247.9 passing yards. Arkansas State is forecast to rush for 214.6 yards on 43.0 attempts with an estimated 1.0 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, SMU has an average of 16.5 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts SMU will throw 21.5 competitions on 42.3 attempts against Arkansas State with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 218.7 yards and 1.1 touchdowns. SMU is predicted to run for 142.8 yards on 29.6 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.
According to the odds and a forecasted 63.7% chance to beat the -2.5 point spread, Arkansas State is the best value. With a predicted 75.1% likelihood and -110 odds at 57.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST