Arkansas State Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Texas State

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- The Snoozle Sports football prediction model estimates Arkansas State to take the home win over Texas State with a 51.0% estimate of being correct.

Arkansas State has an average of 22.7 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Arkansas State will throw 25.0 competitions on 41.1 attempts against Texas State with an estimated 2.1 interception for a total of 279.8 yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns. Arkansas State is predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Texas State with 32.7 rush attempts for 159.5 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Texas State has an average of 22.5 points for the game. Texas State is forecast to pass for 1.9 touchdowns on 52.5 pass attempts with 35.1 competitions for 337.7 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. Texas State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Arkansas State with 24.2 rush attempts for 99.9 yards.

Based on a predicted 73.4% probability to cover a +12.5 spread, Texas State is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 64.0% likelihood and -110 odds at 59.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC