Arkansas State Expected Loser at Home Against Ga Southern

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Arkansas State has a 63.0% likelihood to fall to Ga Southern with a based on our model.

Arkansas State has an average of 18.1 points in our model for the game. Arkansas State is expected to throw for 1.5 touchdowns with 35.1 pass attempts with 22.2 competitions for 273.4 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates Arkansas State will run on 29.3 attempts against Ga Southern with an estimated total of 105.9 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Ga Southern is estimated to score 24.1 points on the road. Ga Southern is predicted from the model to throw for 82.8 yards on 14.7 attempts for 7.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. Ga Southern is predicted to run for 358.2 yards on 60.9 attempts with an estimated 2.1 touchdown.

Ga Southern is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 65.0% likelihood estimate to cover a +1.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 71.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 59.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC