Arkansas Forecasted to Lose at Home to Alabama

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Arkansas have a 91.9% chance to lose to the home town Alabama.

The Snoozle model forecast Arkansas to score 14.8 points on the road. Arkansas is predicted from the model to throw for 176.8 yards on 31.6 attempts for 17.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Alabama defense on 21.0 attempts for a projected 97.4 yards.

Alabama has an average of 42.8 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Alabama will pass for 3.6 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Arkansas defense on a projected 32.7 competitions with 47.1 attempts for 470.5 passing yards. Alabama is predicted from the model to run for 1.7 touchdowns against Arkansas with 41.5 rush attempts for 242.9 yards.

Arkansas is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 57.5% likelihood estimate to cover a +32.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 78.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC