Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-29 -- Appalachian St is predicted with a 72.2% for a road win against Troy.
Based on the montecarlo model, Appalachian St has an average of 29.6 points for the game. Appalachian St is forecast to pass for 1.7 touchdowns on 31.7 pass attempts with 20.1 competitions for 260.3 yards, and a predicted 0.6 interceptions. The model predicts Appalachian St will rush on 49.2 attempts against Troy with an estimated total of 267.6 yards and 1.6 running touchdowns.
At home, Troy is forecast to score 17.9 points. Troy is estimated from the model to throw for 267.7 yards on 40.0 attempts for 23.1 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The model estimates Troy will run on 28.6 attempts against Appalachian St with an estimated total of 133.4 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.
For this game Troy are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 52.5% chance to beat a +13.0 spread. The over/under line of 64.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 72.4% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC