Alabama with a Predicted Home Win Over Duke

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-08-31 -- Alabama has a 91.9% chance of winning at home against Duke according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

Alabama is predicted to score 33.4 points on the home turf against Duke. Our model forecasts Alabama will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the Duke defense on a projected 23.8 competitions with 38.8 attempts for 292.8 passing yards. Alabama is predicted from the model to run for 1.7 touchdowns against Duke with 47.4 rush attempts for 269.2 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Duke has an average of 10.2 points for the game. Our model forecasts Duke will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the Alabama defense on a forecasted 13.9 competitions with 27.5 attempts for 127.1 yards. Duke is predicted to run for 113.4 yards on 25.1 attempts with an estimated 0.4 touchdowns.

An estimated 72.1% likelihood to beat a +32.5 point spread, the best value is on Duke in their matchup against Alabama. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 71.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 60.0 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST