Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-12-12 -- On the road, Alabama take Arkansas for a 74.8% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.
Alabama is estimated to score 39.1 points on the road. Alabama is predicted from the model to throw for 407.0 yards on 40.1 attempts for 35.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 3.2 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Alabama will rush for 1.8 touchdowns against the Arkansas defense on 40.0 attempts for a projected 232.2 yards.
Arkansas is estimated to score 24.2 points at home. Arkansas is estimated from the model to throw for 272.8 yards on 30.7 attempts for 25.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Arkansas will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Alabama defense on 30.6 attempts for a projected 145.5 yards.
According to the odds and a forecasted 76.5% chance to beat the +32.0 point spread, Arkansas is the best value. With an over/under of 68.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:01:13 UTC