Air Force Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat Utah State

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Air Force likely winner at home over Utah State with a 52.9% of being correct based on our model.

At home, Air Force is forecast to score 22.0 points. Air Force is estimated from the model to throw for 148.9 yards on 13.0 attempts for 7.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. The model estimates Air Force will run on 64.7 attempts against Utah State with an estimated total of 285.0 yards and 1.4 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Utah State has an average of 21.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Utah State will throw 26.0 competitions on 38.9 attempts against Air Force with a forecasted 0.1 interception for a total of 289.7 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. Utah State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Air Force with 32.2 rush attempts for 150.3 yards.

Utah State is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 52.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +3.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 69.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 59.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC