Aaron Judge's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Yankees Over the Astros

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Emma Botos


Gerrit Cole of the pirates.
Johnmaxmena2 License

October 15, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Yankees have a 73.93% take a home loss against the Astros.

Likely starting pitcher Luis Severino for the Yankees will be matched up with the Astros probable starter Gerrit Cole. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Luis Severino will have 2.771 earned runs, a predicted 21.089 outs, and 5.199 strike outs. Gerrit Cole is estimated to have 1.418 earned runs, 23.694 outs, and 0.000 strike outs.

The Yankees's Aaron Judge and the Astros's Yulieski Gurriel will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Aaron Judge is estimated to bring in 0.406 RBIs and 0.419 runs scored, with an 0.293 OBP and 0.000 Ks. The Astros's Yulieski Gurriel from the plate is forecast to score 0.705 runs, 0.797 RBIs and have a 0.383 OBP.

For this game the Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -154 away odds and a predicted 73.93% likelihood to win. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.04% over likelihood and -104 odds.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 20:51:14 UTC