49ers Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Dolphins

Sun, Oct 11, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-11 -- The 49ers have a 65.5% chance of winning at home against the Dolphins according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

The 49ers are estimated to score 23.4 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the 49ers will throw 27.1 competitions on 42.4 attempts against the Dolphins with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 256.1 yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the 49ers will run on 28.0 attempts against the Dolphins with an estimated total of 160.4 yards and 1.1 rushing touchdown.

The Snoozle model forecast the Dolphins to score 16.3 points on the road. The Dolphins are predicted from the model to throw for 294.7 yards on 42.0 attempts for 24.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Dolphins will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the 49ers defense on 23.8 attempts for a projected 106.0 yards.

Based on a predicted 52.8% probability to cover a +9.0 spread, the Dolphins are the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 60.2% likelihood and -110 odds at 52.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, October 11, 2020 13:01:17 UTC