MLB Top 5 Picks for Aug 19, 2016

Fri, Aug 19, 2016 | Snoozle Auto Generate

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Having an edge over the house requires not only knowing which action has the best value, but also the probability of the correctness of the pick. Having an estimate of the probability allows you to better allocate your resources using bet optimization formulas like Kelly criterion and better's edge.

During the MLB season, Snoozle Sports will provide you the top 5 picks for the day based on the projected lineups at the time of the predictions. The predictions are made with Snoozle Sports Monte Carlo MLB Simulator. Historically, this simulator has a slight advantage over the house O/U lines. All the simulation results for the day are also available.


1. Cubs (-147) at Rockies (+137)
Over/Under: 11.0 (+100/-120)
UNDER with 0.7307 probability estimate
2. Marlins (+150) at Pirates (-160)
Over/Under: 7.5 (+100/-120)
OVER with 0.6847 probability estimate
3. Twins (+115) at Royals (-125)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6643 probability estimate
4. Athletics (-103) at White Sox (-107)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6555 probability estimate
5. Cardinals (-165) at Phillies (+155)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-105/-115)
OVER with 0.6390 probability estimate