MLB Top 5 Picks for Jul 16, 2016

Sat, Jul 16, 2016 | Snoozle Auto Generate

 Tweet 

Having an edge over the house requires not only knowing which action has the best value, but also the probability of the correctness of the pick. Having an estimate of the probability allows you to better allocate your resources using bet optimization formulas like Kelly criterion and better's edge.

During the MLB season, Snoozle Sports will provide you the top 5 picks for the day based on the projected lineups at the time of the predictions. The predictions are made with Snoozle Sports Monte Carlo MLB Simulator. Historically, this simulator has a slight advantage over the house O/U lines. All the simulation results for the day are also available.


1. Astros (-120) at Mariners (+110)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-105/-115)
OVER with 0.7827 probability estimate
2. Marlins (+154) at Cardinals (-164)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-120/+100)
OVER with 0.7420 probability estimate
3. White Sox (+145) at Angels (-155)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6867 probability estimate
4. Rockies (-102) at Braves (-108)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6391 probability estimate
5. Blue Jays (-117) at Athletics (+107)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-110/-110)
OVER with 0.6383 probability estimate