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Rockies (+308) at Dodgers (-383)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-104/-116)

Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 84.52%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 60.41%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Rockies480
Dodgers7111
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 22, 2019 06:32:04 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 15.48%
Prob Home Team Wins: 84.52%
Average Comb Score: 11.29
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.97
Prob Over: 60.41%
Prob Under: 39.59%

Rockies Forecasted to Lose at Home to Dodgers Despite Trevor Story's Effort

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Trevor Story
Jennifer Zambrano on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 22, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Rockies have a 87.19% chance to lose to the home town Dodgers.

The Rockies have Antonio Senzatela as the probable starting pitcher against Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Rockies's Antonio Senzatela is predicted to throw for 5.697 innings, allowing 4.228 earned runs, with 6.707 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Hyun-Jin Ryu will have 1.697 earned runs, a predicted 23.246 outs, and 7.706 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Trevor Story of the Rockies will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter David Freese. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Trevor Story is predicted to bat for 0.254 with 0.470 RBIs and 0.486 runs scored. The Dodgers's David Freese 3B is estimated to score 1.305 runs, 1.048 RBIs and have a 0.460 OBP.

For this matchup Dodgers are the best value on the money line bets with on the -383 home ML odds and a forecasted 87.19% chance to win. According to prediction model the 63.23% over estimate and -104 line odds for 9.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC


Rockies Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Trevor Story (SS)4.150.541.070.420.340.2520.3130.473
Garrett Hampson (CF)4.130.330.850.250.280.2010.2510.302
Nolan Arenado (3B)3.940.501.070.520.350.2650.3290.498
Ian Desmond (LF)3.950.360.820.390.260.2030.2540.379
Ryan McMahon (2B)3.730.370.810.420.390.2110.2860.382
Josh Fuentes (1B)3.860.320.760.430.150.1910.2230.373
Sam Hilliard (RF)3.590.330.750.420.280.2040.2680.428
Drew Butera (C)3.530.180.580.140.240.1590.2150.239
Antonio Senzatela (P)3.460.150.360.070.120.1000.1240.167

Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (RF)4.661.091.400.930.610.2940.3920.628
Gavin Lux (2B)4.760.941.510.660.530.3100.3810.506
Justin Turner (3B)4.491.031.550.910.570.3380.4270.596
Cody Bellinger (CF)4.221.051.491.140.860.3470.4570.713
Corey Seager (SS)4.450.831.450.900.500.3180.3910.554
A.J. Pollock (LF)4.370.781.411.010.420.3150.3860.559
Matt Beaty (1B)4.400.731.460.840.340.3250.3780.564
Will Smith (C)4.090.801.181.020.490.2810.3690.636
Hyun-Jin Ryu (P)3.960.430.810.280.400.2000.2590.231

Rockies Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Antonio Senzatela19.246.353.410.463.845.8814.83%

Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Hyun-Jin Ryu23.410.782.100.151.587.2583.73%

Cody Bellinger's Dodgers at Home Beat the Rockies, 7-4

Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

September 22, 2019 -- The Dodgers beat the Rockies in a 7 to 4 victory at home.

Slugger Cody Bellinger's leadership helped the Dodgers against Rockies. The Dodgers' top hitter contributed 4 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.302. He had a 0.404 OBP with 4 at bats.

Antonio Senzatela's start did not help them on the road. A 6.90 ERA and 0.381 OBP in the appearance against the Dodgers. Antonio Senzatela allowed 4 earned runs over 4.0 innings pitched. Throwing 52 strikes in a 91 pitch outing for 4 strikeouts.

Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 23:32:13 UTC


Rockies Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Trevor Story (SS)3000.2960.3630.551
Garrett Hampson (CF)4110.2470.3020.378
Nolan Arenado (3B)4000.3150.3790.592
Ian Desmond (LF)3000.2510.3070.461
Ryan McMahon (2B)3000.2520.3330.455
Josh Fuentes (1B)3100.1840.1840.447
Sam Hilliard (RF)4130.2780.3500.685
Drew Butera (C)3000.2260.2650.323
Antonio Senzatela (P)1000.0260.0500.026

Dodgers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (RF)3100.2440.3350.516
Gavin Lux (2B)3100.2730.3440.436
Justin Turner (3B)3000.2900.3690.511
Cody Bellinger (CF)4140.3020.4040.628
Corey Seager (SS)4110.2730.3360.478
A.J. Pollock (LF)4000.2700.3310.480
Matt Beaty (1B)3000.2760.3270.477
Will Smith (C)3110.2420.3180.561
Hyun-Jin Ryu (P)3110.1430.2080.224