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White Sox (+200) at Twins (-220)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Twins (Probablity Correct: 79.57%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 61.06%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Twins | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 08:32:46 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 20.43%
Prob Home Team Wins: 79.57%
Average Comb Score: 11.43
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.07
Prob Over: 61.06%
Prob Under: 38.94%
Twins's Starting Hurler Michael Pineda with a Predicted Home Win Over the White Sox
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
When this file was uploaded to Wikimedia Commons, it was available from Flickr under the stated license. The Flickr user has since stopped distributing the file under this license. As Creative Commons licenses cannot be revoked in this manner, the file is still free to use under the terms of the license specified. See the Creative Commons FAQ on revoking licensing.
Arturo Pardavila III on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Jorge Polanco and Eloy Jimenez, our model estimates the Twins have an estimated 76.17% likelihood of defeating the White Sox.
Probable starting pitchers Michael Pineda and Reynaldo Lopez duel it out for the Twins and White Sox, respectively. Our model forecasts the Twins pitcher will have an outing for 6.867 innings, allowing 2.118 earned runs, with a 1.957 walks. Reynaldo Lopez is estimated to have 3.548 earned runs, 19.863 outs, and 6.975 strike outs.
Hitters Nelson Cruz from the Twins and Tim Anderson from the White Sox will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to bring in 1.185 RBIs and 0.970 runs scored, with an 0.406 OBP and 1.383 Ks. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Tim Anderson is predicted to bat for 0.304 with 0.463 RBIs and 0.446 runs scored.
The Twins are the best value for the money line based on the -210 odds and a predicted 76.17% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 58.63% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
White Sox Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leury Garcia (CF) | 4.54 | 0.44 | 1.17 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.251 | 0.281 | 0.346 |
| Tim Anderson (SS) | 4.50 | 0.51 | 1.37 | 0.51 | 0.12 | 0.298 | 0.321 | 0.448 |
| Jose Abreu (1B) | 4.28 | 0.48 | 1.09 | 0.58 | 0.22 | 0.248 | 0.290 | 0.450 |
| Eloy Jimenez (LF) | 4.15 | 0.46 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.27 | 0.217 | 0.267 | 0.433 |
| Ryan Goins (3B) | 3.81 | 0.35 | 0.98 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.251 | 0.336 | 0.360 |
| Welington Castillo (C) | 3.88 | 0.35 | 0.73 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.181 | 0.246 | 0.330 |
| Jon Jay (RF) | 3.88 | 0.28 | 0.95 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.238 | 0.275 | 0.287 |
| Matt Skole (DH) | 3.56 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.208 | 0.293 | 0.344 |
| Carlos Sanchez (2B) | 3.57 | 0.30 | 0.84 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.227 | 0.285 | 0.293 |
Twins Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (CF) | 4.70 | 0.97 | 1.31 | 0.88 | 0.61 | 0.272 | 0.360 | 0.561 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 4.72 | 0.89 | 1.52 | 0.73 | 0.49 | 0.316 | 0.382 | 0.524 |
| Nelson Cruz (DH) | 4.43 | 1.01 | 1.42 | 1.15 | 0.60 | 0.313 | 0.405 | 0.689 |
| Eddie Rosario (LF) | 4.81 | 0.82 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.305 | 0.335 | 0.563 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 4.18 | 0.87 | 1.12 | 0.88 | 0.71 | 0.262 | 0.370 | 0.595 |
| Luis Arraez (2B) | 4.23 | 0.73 | 1.58 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 0.364 | 0.438 | 0.478 |
| Mitch Garver (C) | 4.14 | 0.83 | 1.20 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 0.283 | 0.367 | 0.647 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (1B) | 4.17 | 0.63 | 1.23 | 0.63 | 0.36 | 0.291 | 0.354 | 0.460 |
| Jake Cave (RF) | 3.82 | 0.64 | 1.09 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.279 | 0.382 | 0.404 |
White Sox Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez | 19.71 | 6.80 | 3.20 | 0.43 | 3.62 | 6.03 | 20.31% |
Twins Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pineda | 22.41 | 0.00 | 1.96 | 0.25 | 2.03 | 6.93 | 77.62% |
Hurler Michael Pineda Leads Twins Over White Sox in a 14 to 4 Blowout at Home
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
When this file was uploaded to Wikimedia Commons, it was available from Flickr under the stated license. The Flickr user has since stopped distributing the file under this license. As Creative Commons licenses cannot be revoked in this manner, the file is still free to use under the terms of the license specified. See the Creative Commons FAQ on revoking licensing.
Arturo Pardavila III on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The Twins destroy the visiting White Sox in a 14-4 win.
The Twins starter Michael Pineda helped limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. He pitched for 4 Ks. The Twins pitcher had a 0.298 OBP for his appearance. The Twins hurler threw for 6 hits and 0 walks allowed. The pitcher allowed 4 earned runs over 7.0 innings pitched.
Tim Anderson led the White Sox in hitting against the Twins's pitching. The White Sox hitter had 2 RBI and scored 2 runs in the road outing. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.504 slugging percentage in the game. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.
The Reynaldo Lopez start could not help the Twins from a win. Throwing 61 strikes in a 89 pitch outing for 3 strikeouts. A 5.25 ERA and 0.349 OBP in the appearance against the Twins. Reynaldo Lopez allowed 3 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 03:32:40 UTC
White Sox Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leury Garcia (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.281 | 0.311 | 0.384 |
| Tim Anderson (SS) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.331 | 0.354 | 0.504 |
| Jose Abreu (1B) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.273 | 0.313 | 0.496 |
| Eloy Jimenez (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.240 | 0.291 | 0.472 |
| Ryan Goins (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.278 | 0.366 | 0.398 |
| Welington Castillo (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.202 | 0.270 | 0.371 |
| Jon Jay (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.263 | 0.302 | 0.316 |
| Matt Skole (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.229 | 0.308 | 0.257 |
| Carlos Sanchez (2B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 0.323 |
Twins Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (CF) | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0.256 | 0.337 | 0.537 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.296 | 0.358 | 0.498 |
| Nelson Cruz (DH) | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0.303 | 0.390 | 0.667 |
| Eddie Rosario (LF) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0.284 | 0.308 | 0.517 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.245 | 0.345 | 0.558 |
| Luis Arraez (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.346 | 0.413 | 0.452 |
| Mitch Garver (C) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.263 | 0.342 | 0.595 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (1B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.265 | 0.327 | 0.421 |
| Jake Cave (RF) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.265 | 0.360 | 0.376 |