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Tigers (+260) at Astros (-300)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Astros (Probablity Correct: 55.53%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 70.04%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| Astros | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 09:32:09 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 44.47%
Prob Home Team Wins: 55.53%
Average Comb Score: 12.73
Median Comb Score: 12.00
Std Comb Score: 5.33
Prob Over: 70.04%
Prob Under: 29.96%
Astros Led By Pitcher Aaron Sanchez at Home Expected to Beat the Tigers
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Blue Jays at Orioles 04/11/15
Keith Allison License
August 20, 2019 -- The Astros likely winner at home over the Tigers with a 59.02% of being correct based on our model.
On the mound for the Astros will be Aaron Sanchez paired against Spencer Turnbull. Our model forecasts the Astros pitcher will have an outing for 6.302 innings, allowing 3.333 earned runs, with a 2.465 walks. Spencer Turnbull is estimated to have 3.502 earned runs, 19.881 outs, and 5.754 strike outs.
Hitters Yordan Alvarez from the Astros and Ronny Rodriguez from the Tigers will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to bring in 1.221 RBIs and 0.973 runs scored, with an 0.429 OBP and 1.199 Ks. Ronny Rodriguez is forecast to bring in 0.660 RBIs and 0.611 run scored, with an 0.297 OBP and 1.277 Ks.
With +260 money line odds and a estimated 40.98% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Tigers over the Tigers. According to prediction model the 73.11% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (RF) | 4.78 | 0.73 | 1.60 | 0.46 | 0.39 | 0.328 | 0.377 | 0.458 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 4.87 | 0.64 | 1.65 | 0.67 | 0.17 | 0.332 | 0.354 | 0.452 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4.43 | 0.68 | 1.49 | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.329 | 0.398 | 0.466 |
| Brandon Dixon (LF) | 4.52 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 0.92 | 0.28 | 0.307 | 0.355 | 0.547 |
| Dawel Lugo (3B) | 4.45 | 0.44 | 1.16 | 0.54 | 0.16 | 0.255 | 0.299 | 0.340 |
| Ronny Rodriguez (1B) | 4.40 | 0.64 | 1.25 | 0.76 | 0.21 | 0.276 | 0.309 | 0.553 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 4.18 | 0.64 | 1.28 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.300 | 0.350 | 0.497 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 3.71 | 0.67 | 0.88 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.230 | 0.343 | 0.470 |
| Gordon Beckham (2B) | 3.87 | 0.61 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.267 | 0.336 | 0.468 |
Astros Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (CF) | 4.52 | 0.94 | 1.36 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.294 | 0.383 | 0.568 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 4.61 | 0.86 | 1.42 | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.301 | 0.364 | 0.545 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4.50 | 0.85 | 1.57 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.343 | 0.403 | 0.553 |
| Alex Bregman (3B) | 3.93 | 0.87 | 1.11 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 0.275 | 0.411 | 0.549 |
| Yordan Alvarez (DH) | 4.15 | 0.87 | 1.41 | 1.16 | 0.59 | 0.333 | 0.417 | 0.701 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 4.37 | 0.62 | 1.39 | 0.89 | 0.27 | 0.311 | 0.354 | 0.563 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4.25 | 0.44 | 1.15 | 0.57 | 0.30 | 0.265 | 0.313 | 0.386 |
| Martin Maldonado (C) | 4.04 | 0.47 | 0.96 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.231 | 0.297 | 0.372 |
| Jack Mayfield (SS) | 4.08 | 0.49 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 0.205 | 0.247 | 0.386 |
Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Turnbull | 20.19 | 5.22 | 3.11 | 0.25 | 3.36 | 6.20 | 43.24% |
Astros Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Sanchez | 20.59 | 0.27 | 2.17 | 0.30 | 3.32 | 6.30 | 51.31% |
Hurler Aaron Sanchez Leads Astros Over Tigers, 6-3
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Blue Jays at Orioles 04/11/15
Keith Allison License
August 20, 2019 -- The Astros take the home win over the Tigers, 6 to 3.
The Astros's starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez led team on the mound. A 5.89 ERA and 0.382 OBP in the appearance against Tigers. The Astros starter allowed 4 hits and 2 walks. He gave up 3 earned runs over 2.1 innings pitched. He pitched for 1 K.
Slugger Brandon Dixon's performance on the bases, could not overcome Astros's defense against starter Spencer Turnbull. Brandon Dixon had a 0.296 OBP with 4 at bats. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.256. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Brandon Dixon had a 0.458 slugging percentage.
Yordan Alvarez DH led the Astros in hitting against the Tigers's pitching. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. The hitter had a 0.424 OBP with 0 at bats. The hitter had a 0.697 slugging in the game.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 03:32:40 UTC
Tigers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (RF) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.282 | 0.331 | 0.411 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.299 | 0.386 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.283 | 0.344 | 0.393 |
| Brandon Dixon (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.296 | 0.458 |
| Dawel Lugo (3B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.211 | 0.243 | 0.289 |
| Ronny Rodriguez (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.220 | 0.249 | 0.441 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.298 | 0.411 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.140 | 0.258 | 0.351 |
| Gordon Beckham (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.227 | 0.289 | 0.392 |
Astros Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (CF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.293 | 0.378 | 0.569 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0.302 | 0.362 | 0.546 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.334 | 0.393 | 0.540 |
| Alex Bregman (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.407 | 0.555 |
| Yordan Alvarez (DH) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.424 | 0.697 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.306 | 0.344 | 0.548 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.260 | 0.302 | 0.377 |
| Martin Maldonado (C) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.220 | 0.291 | 0.369 |
| Jack Mayfield (SS) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.140 | 0.157 | 0.300 |