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Royals (+105) at Orioles (-115)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Orioles (Probablity Correct: 55.30%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 57.42%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Orioles | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 07:31:45 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 44.70%
Prob Home Team Wins: 55.30%
Average Comb Score: 9.26
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.40
Prob Over: 42.58%
Prob Under: 57.42%
Orioles Led By Pitcher Dylan Bundy at Home Expected to Beat the Royals
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The Orioles likely winner at home over the Royals with a 54.67% of being correct based on our model.
Probable starting pitchers Dylan Bundy and Brad Keller duel it out for the Orioles and Royals, respectively. Dylan Bundy is estimated from the model to throw for 6.651 innings, allowing 2.538 earned runs, with 6.665 Ks. Brad Keller is estimated to have 2.617 earned runs, 21.476 outs, and 6.268 strike outs.
Hitters Trey Mancini from the Orioles and Jorge Soler from the Royals will lead the offense for their teams. Trey Mancini is forecast to bat for 0.280 with 0.718 RBIs and 0.720 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jorge Soler RF is predicted to bat for 0.261 with 0.823 RBIs and 0.616 runs scored.
Based on the -115 odds and an estimated 54.67% chance to win, the Orioles are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 55.22% likelihood and -110 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Royals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (2B) | 4.52 | 0.65 | 1.39 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.301 | 0.357 | 0.480 |
| Jorge Soler (DH) | 4.17 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 0.72 | 0.54 | 0.257 | 0.352 | 0.549 |
| Hunter Dozier (3B) | 4.15 | 0.57 | 1.21 | 0.69 | 0.52 | 0.286 | 0.368 | 0.552 |
| Alex Gordon (LF) | 4.11 | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.259 | 0.336 | 0.403 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (1B) | 4.00 | 0.34 | 0.71 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.175 | 0.264 | 0.304 |
| Meibrys Viloria (C) | 4.05 | 0.35 | 0.97 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.234 | 0.286 | 0.373 |
| Bubba Starling (RF) | 4.03 | 0.31 | 0.87 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.210 | 0.254 | 0.298 |
| Brett Phillips (CF) | 3.79 | 0.35 | 0.77 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.197 | 0.266 | 0.326 |
| Nicky Lopez (SS) | 3.82 | 0.35 | 0.89 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.228 | 0.266 | 0.307 |
Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4.46 | 0.67 | 1.27 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.277 | 0.350 | 0.449 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 4.36 | 0.71 | 1.23 | 0.72 | 0.46 | 0.275 | 0.350 | 0.535 |
| Anthony Santander (CF) | 4.46 | 0.57 | 1.27 | 0.65 | 0.27 | 0.280 | 0.321 | 0.472 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 4.20 | 0.58 | 1.05 | 0.71 | 0.37 | 0.245 | 0.314 | 0.484 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 4.21 | 0.41 | 0.99 | 0.45 | 0.31 | 0.230 | 0.281 | 0.365 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 4.24 | 0.43 | 1.39 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.320 | 0.344 | 0.433 |
| DJ Stewart (RF) | 3.96 | 0.41 | 0.84 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.207 | 0.270 | 0.351 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 3.76 | 0.45 | 0.95 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.246 | 0.321 | 0.368 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 3.57 | 0.51 | 0.83 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.226 | 0.322 | 0.411 |
Royals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 21.51 | 6.52 | 2.44 | 0.31 | 2.58 | 6.61 | 44.81% |
Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Bundy | 21.80 | 0.00 | 2.70 | 0.28 | 2.40 | 6.70 | 53.79% |
Jonathan Villar's Stick Not Enough for the Royals Against the Orioles, 1-4
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- On the road, the Royals lose to the Orioles 1 to 4.
Slugger Jonathan Villar's leadership helped the Orioles against Royals. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.276. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Jonathan Villar had a 0.447 slugging percentage.
Jorge Soler led the Royals in hitting against the Orioles's pitching. He had a 0.351 OBP with 3 at bats. He had 0 Ks in the game. The Royals hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing.
Slugger Hunter Dozier could not achieve the Royals road win over the Orioles's pitching. Hunter Dozier had a 0.365 OBP with 4 at bats. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. He had a 0.553 slugging percentage in the game. The Royals hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs on the road.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 02:31:33 UTC
Royals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.299 | 0.351 | 0.474 |
| Jorge Soler (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.351 | 0.544 |
| Hunter Dozier (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.287 | 0.365 | 0.553 |
| Alex Gordon (LF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.260 | 0.333 | 0.404 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.173 | 0.260 | 0.300 |
| Meibrys Viloria (C) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.213 | 0.269 | 0.328 |
| Bubba Starling (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.204 | 0.246 | 0.287 |
| Brett Phillips (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.167 | 0.286 | 0.250 |
| Nicky Lopez (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.228 | 0.267 | 0.305 |
Orioles Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.276 | 0.346 | 0.447 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.276 | 0.347 | 0.530 |
| Anthony Santander (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.277 | 0.315 | 0.469 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.239 | 0.306 | 0.472 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.233 | 0.280 | 0.360 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.318 | 0.339 | 0.435 |
| DJ Stewart (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.195 | 0.214 | 0.220 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.246 | 0.317 | 0.371 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.219 | 0.323 | 0.394 |