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Phillies (-110) at Red Sox (+100)
Over/Under: 11.0 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Red Sox (Probablity Correct: 57.42%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 52.69%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Red Sox | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 07:31:28 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 42.58%
Prob Home Team Wins: 57.42%
Average Comb Score: 11.79
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.13
Prob Over: 47.31%
Prob Under: 52.69%
Visiting Phillies Hurler Aaron Nola Predicted Loser Against Red Sox
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
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August 20, 2019 -- The Phillies predicted with a 61.73% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Red Sox based on the Snoozle Sports model
On the mound for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola matched up against Aaron Nola. The Phillies's Aaron Nola is predicted to throw for 6.420 innings, allowing 2.931 earned runs, with 6.513 Ks. Aaron Nola is estimated from the model to throw for 6.420 innings, allowing 2.931 earned runs, with 6.513 Ks.
The Phillies's Corey Dickerson and the Red Sox's Rafael Devers will slug it out from the plate. Corey Dickerson is forecast to bring in 0.771 RBIs and 0.533 runs scored, with an 0.301 OBP and 0.496 Ks. Rafael Devers is forecast to bat for 0.317 with 0.799 RBIs and 0.823 runs scored.
Based on the -105 odds and an estimated 61.73% chance to win, the Red Sox are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 11.0 runs with -115 over odds and a predicted 57.64% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Phillies Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (DH) | 4.10 | 0.77 | 0.98 | 0.57 | 0.90 | 0.233 | 0.378 | 0.465 |
| J.T. Realmuto (1B) | 4.60 | 0.69 | 1.29 | 0.66 | 0.35 | 0.274 | 0.328 | 0.473 |
| Bryce Harper (RF) | 4.05 | 0.70 | 1.06 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 0.254 | 0.377 | 0.492 |
| Jean Segura (SS) | 4.42 | 0.55 | 1.29 | 0.63 | 0.26 | 0.286 | 0.335 | 0.434 |
| Corey Dickerson (LF) | 4.54 | 0.58 | 1.30 | 0.82 | 0.09 | 0.280 | 0.295 | 0.518 |
| Scott Kingery (3B) | 4.15 | 0.54 | 1.16 | 0.60 | 0.32 | 0.273 | 0.332 | 0.500 |
| Cesar Hernandez (2B) | 4.09 | 0.40 | 1.17 | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.280 | 0.332 | 0.393 |
| Adam Haseley (CF) | 4.03 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 0.257 | 0.305 | 0.408 |
| Andrew Knapp (C) | 3.49 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.26 | 0.57 | 0.197 | 0.324 | 0.269 |
Red Sox Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (RF) | 4.38 | 0.86 | 1.23 | 0.59 | 0.80 | 0.276 | 0.386 | 0.497 |
| Rafael Devers (3B) | 4.71 | 0.84 | 1.56 | 0.83 | 0.35 | 0.324 | 0.372 | 0.583 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SS) | 4.42 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 0.79 | 0.56 | 0.299 | 0.377 | 0.542 |
| J.D. Martinez (DH) | 4.34 | 0.71 | 1.34 | 0.88 | 0.49 | 0.300 | 0.374 | 0.543 |
| Andrew Benintendi (LF) | 4.25 | 0.58 | 1.20 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.275 | 0.350 | 0.448 |
| Christian Vazquez (C) | 4.38 | 0.58 | 1.21 | 0.75 | 0.27 | 0.271 | 0.312 | 0.469 |
| Mitch Moreland (1B) | 4.05 | 0.62 | 0.98 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 0.236 | 0.317 | 0.499 |
| Brock Holt (2B) | 3.88 | 0.54 | 1.20 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.303 | 0.385 | 0.428 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF) | 3.77 | 0.54 | 0.83 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.214 | 0.307 | 0.383 |
Phillies Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 20.34 | 6.29 | 3.24 | 0.21 | 3.33 | 6.24 | 41.62% |
Red Sox Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Johnson | 21.02 | 6.76 | 2.82 | 0.44 | 2.92 | 6.44 | 53.80% |
Corey Dickerson Effort Helps the Phillies Beat the Red Sox, 3-2
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Philadelphia Phillies player Rhys Hoskins
Ian D'Andrea License
August 20, 2019 -- The visiting Phillies go the distance against the Red Sox, 3 to 2.
Corey Dickerson led the Phillies's effort on the road against the Red Sox's pitching. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. He had a 0.294 batting average in the game. He had a 0.337 OBP with 4 at bats. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.
In a home loss, the Brian Johnson start was not enough to lead the Red Sox to a win over the Phillies. The pitcher allowed 3 earned runs over 3.2 innings pitched. The Red Sox hurler threw for 6 hits and 2 walks allowed. A 6.58 ERA and 0.316 OBP in the appearance against Phillies. Throwing 42 strikes in a 67 pitch outing for 4 strikeouts.
The Phillies star Rhys Hoskins's presence on the road helped the team over the Red Sox's pitching. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Rhys Hoskins had a 0.476 slugging percentage. With 3 at bats, Rhys Hoskins had a 0.379 OBP. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 1 run. His batting average was 0.238 in the game.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 03:32:40 UTC
Phillies Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (DH) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.238 | 0.379 | 0.476 |
| J.T. Realmuto (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.277 | 0.328 | 0.480 |
| Bryce Harper (RF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.254 | 0.373 | 0.492 |
| Jean Segura (SS) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.284 | 0.331 | 0.434 |
| Corey Dickerson (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.294 | 0.337 | 0.537 |
| Scott Kingery (3B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.271 | 0.329 | 0.488 |
| Cesar Hernandez (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.331 | 0.397 |
| Adam Haseley (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.248 | 0.301 | 0.390 |
| Andrew Knapp (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.192 | 0.316 | 0.263 |
Red Sox Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.390 | 0.502 |
| Rafael Devers (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.329 | 0.377 | 0.592 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.308 | 0.383 | 0.561 |
| J.D. Martinez (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.308 | 0.383 | 0.558 |
| Andrew Benintendi (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.359 | 0.465 |
| Christian Vazquez (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.280 | 0.319 | 0.480 |
| Mitch Moreland (1B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.244 | 0.320 | 0.512 |
| Brock Holt (2B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.314 | 0.388 | 0.440 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.224 | 0.317 | 0.406 |