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Nationals (-150) at Pirates (+140)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-120/+100)
Game Pick: Nationals (Probablity Correct: 68.85%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 60.19%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Pirates | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 07:32:08 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 68.85%
Prob Home Team Wins: 31.15%
Average Comb Score: 10.10
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.65
Prob Over: 60.19%
Prob Under: 39.81%
Josh Bell's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Pirates Over the Nationals
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Pirates are predicted with a 69.68% to lose at home against the Nationals.
The hosting Pirates have Chris Archer in the rotation against the Nationals's pitcher Stephen Strasburg. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Chris Archer will have 2.953 earned runs, a predicted 20.597 outs, and 6.665 strike outs. The Nationals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.561 outs, allow 2.164 earned runs, and a 0.025 probability of a complete game.
Hitters Josh Bell from the Pirates and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the offense for their teams. The Pirates's Josh Bell is estimated to score 0.530 runs, 0.594 RBIs and have a 0.316 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.321 with 0.869 RBIs and 0.822 runs scored.
The Nationals are the best value for the money line based on the -150 odds and a forecasted 69.68% win estimate.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 4.70 | 0.81 | 1.44 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.300 | 0.365 | 0.503 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 4.42 | 0.72 | 1.32 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.293 | 0.378 | 0.441 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 4.36 | 0.83 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 0.49 | 0.318 | 0.399 | 0.610 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 4.07 | 0.76 | 1.26 | 0.91 | 0.79 | 0.304 | 0.417 | 0.580 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera (2B) | 4.21 | 0.57 | 1.03 | 0.64 | 0.51 | 0.238 | 0.325 | 0.397 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 4.33 | 0.66 | 1.13 | 0.91 | 0.30 | 0.257 | 0.306 | 0.547 |
| Kurt Suzuki (C) | 4.13 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 0.67 | 0.32 | 0.276 | 0.338 | 0.493 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 3.94 | 0.50 | 1.04 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.256 | 0.331 | 0.441 |
| Stephen Strasburg (P) | 3.92 | 0.36 | 0.76 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.189 | 0.241 | 0.246 |
Pirates Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 4.41 | 0.44 | 0.99 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.219 | 0.274 | 0.318 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 4.18 | 0.55 | 1.21 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 0.283 | 0.354 | 0.452 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4.28 | 0.47 | 1.08 | 0.53 | 0.15 | 0.245 | 0.287 | 0.425 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 3.94 | 0.55 | 0.96 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.237 | 0.319 | 0.500 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4.07 | 0.39 | 0.97 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.234 | 0.278 | 0.366 |
| Jose Osuna (RF) | 3.96 | 0.50 | 1.07 | 0.57 | 0.23 | 0.266 | 0.308 | 0.524 |
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 3.88 | 0.30 | 1.01 | 0.38 | 0.20 | 0.252 | 0.292 | 0.352 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 3.68 | 0.31 | 0.83 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.220 | 0.282 | 0.338 |
| Chris Archer (P) | 3.73 | 0.28 | 0.71 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.184 | 0.212 | 0.319 |
Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Strasburg | 22.40 | 5.83 | 1.98 | 0.31 | 2.23 | 6.90 | 68.39% |
Pirates Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 20.48 | 6.37 | 3.06 | 0.43 | 3.08 | 6.27 | 29.81% |
Nationals Hurler Stephen Strasburg Effort Not Enough Against Pirates, 1-4
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The visiting Nationals lose to the Pirates, 1 to 4.
Stephen Strasburg's start did not help them on the road. The hurler gave up 0 earned runs in 7.0 innings. The pitcher allowed 0.281 OBP. Throwing 60 strikes in a 94 pitch outing for 6 strikeouts. The Nationals pitcher threw for 4 hits and 1 walk allowed.
Slugger Juan Soto's performance on the bases, could not overcome Pirates's defense against starter Stephen Strasburg. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. The Nationals hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs on the road. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.290. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Juan Soto had a 0.557 slugging percentage. Juan Soto had a 0.401 OBP with 4 at bats.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 02:31:33 UTC
Nationals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.294 | 0.357 | 0.489 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.290 | 0.376 | 0.436 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.322 | 0.400 | 0.608 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.290 | 0.401 | 0.557 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.344 | 0.450 | 0.594 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.247 | 0.294 | 0.525 |
| Kurt Suzuki (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.271 | 0.330 | 0.475 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.323 | 0.435 |
| Stephen Strasburg (P) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.153 | 0.194 | 0.220 |
Pirates Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.264 | 0.325 | 0.383 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.323 | 0.396 | 0.517 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.291 | 0.333 | 0.505 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.363 | 0.579 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.330 | 0.438 |
| Jose Osuna (RF) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.312 | 0.358 | 0.608 |
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.299 | 0.342 | 0.414 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.265 | 0.333 | 0.402 |
| Chris Archer (P) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.114 | 0.184 | 0.114 |