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Indians (-160) at Mets (+150)
Over/Under: 8.5 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Indians (Probablity Correct: 75.63%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 54.96%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indians | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Mets | 9 | 9 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 08:32:06 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 75.63%
Prob Home Team Wins: 24.37%
Average Comb Score: 9.48
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.47
Prob Over: 54.96%
Prob Under: 45.04%
Mets Hurler Steven Matz Forecasted Loser at Home Against Indians
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber warms up in the bullpen at Progressive Field in 2018
Erik Drost on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The Mets change of losing to the Indians is 77.55% based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher Steven Matz for the Mets will be matched up with the Indians probable starter Shane Bieber. Our model forecasts the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.354 innings, allowing 2.936 earned runs, with a 2.848 walks. The Indians's Shane Bieber is predicted to throw for 7.302 innings, allowing 1.443 earned runs, with 6.008 Ks.
The Mets's Pete Alonso and the Indians's Yasiel Puig will duel it out from the batter's box. Pete Alonso is forecast to bat for 0.213 with 0.525 RBIs and 0.490 runs scored. Yasiel Puig is forecast to bring in 0.877 RBIs and 0.629 runs scored, with an 0.390 OBP and 0.576 Ks.
According to the -160 ML away odds and an predicted 77.55% chance to win, the Indians are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(+100)/under(-120) odds, the 8.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Indians Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4.74 | 0.82 | 1.46 | 0.90 | 0.42 | 0.304 | 0.363 | 0.531 |
| Oscar Mercado (LF) | 4.69 | 0.73 | 1.39 | 0.64 | 0.30 | 0.291 | 0.340 | 0.468 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 4.06 | 0.81 | 1.25 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 0.302 | 0.427 | 0.568 |
| Yasiel Puig (RF) | 4.35 | 0.68 | 1.43 | 0.79 | 0.46 | 0.322 | 0.392 | 0.556 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4.26 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 0.73 | 0.48 | 0.256 | 0.333 | 0.471 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 4.21 | 0.54 | 1.10 | 0.58 | 0.41 | 0.254 | 0.318 | 0.409 |
| Roberto Perez (C) | 3.99 | 0.59 | 0.95 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 0.232 | 0.318 | 0.463 |
| Greg Allen (CF) | 4.04 | 0.46 | 1.01 | 0.44 | 0.21 | 0.245 | 0.307 | 0.402 |
| Shane Bieber (P) | 4.27 | 0.65 | 1.35 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.309 | 0.307 | 0.619 |
Mets Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario (SS) | 4.41 | 0.38 | 1.04 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.230 | 0.265 | 0.354 |
| Joe Panik (2B) | 4.24 | 0.33 | 0.95 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.218 | 0.265 | 0.291 |
| Pete Alonso (1B) | 3.86 | 0.53 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 0.215 | 0.311 | 0.479 |
| Michael Conforto (RF) | 3.77 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.204 | 0.302 | 0.384 |
| Wilson Ramos (C) | 3.88 | 0.34 | 0.89 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.223 | 0.283 | 0.334 |
| J.D. Davis (LF) | 3.79 | 0.36 | 0.98 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.251 | 0.308 | 0.416 |
| Todd Frazier (3B) | 3.70 | 0.28 | 0.69 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.182 | 0.242 | 0.328 |
| Juan Lagares (CF) | 3.62 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.161 | 0.214 | 0.225 |
| Steven Matz (P) | 3.55 | 0.31 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.190 | 0.216 | 0.355 |
Indians Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 23.05 | 5.84 | 2.21 | 0.30 | 1.66 | 7.12 | 75.50% |
Mets Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 20.52 | 4.90 | 2.80 | 0.27 | 3.30 | 6.29 | 23.51% |
Hurler Steven Matz Leads Mets Over Indians in a 9 to 2 Blowout at Home
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 20, 2019 -- The Mets pound the Indians in a 9 to 2 victory at home.
The Steven Matz start helped keep the Indians hitters at bay. The pitcher allowed 1 earned runs over 6.1 innings pitched. Throwing 58 strikes in a 98 pitch outing for 7 strikeouts. The Mets starter allowed 5 hits and 2 walks.
Pete Alonso 1B led the Mets in hitting against the Indians's pitching. The Mets hitter had 2 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. In the game, he had a 0.271 batting average. The hitter had a 0.374 OBP with 4 at bats.
Shane Bieber's start did not help them on the road. The Mets had 7 strikeouts against Shane Bieber. The pitcher allowed 0.264 OBP. Shane Bieber allowed 2 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 02:31:33 UTC
Indians Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.298 | 0.353 | 0.518 |
| Oscar Mercado (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.329 | 0.450 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.290 | 0.411 | 0.543 |
| Yasiel Puig (RF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.328 | 0.397 | 0.541 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.324 | 0.460 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.255 | 0.316 | 0.415 |
| Roberto Perez (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.229 | 0.314 | 0.458 |
| Greg Allen (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.239 | 0.298 | 0.393 |
| Shane Bieber (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Mets Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario (SS) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.293 | 0.332 | 0.452 |
| Joe Panik (2B) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.243 | 0.314 | 0.325 |
| Pete Alonso (1B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.271 | 0.374 | 0.603 |
| Michael Conforto (RF) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.258 | 0.366 | 0.500 |
| Wilson Ramos (C) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.346 | 0.412 |
| J.D. Davis (LF) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.312 | 0.374 | 0.522 |
| Todd Frazier (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.232 | 0.303 | 0.416 |
| Juan Lagares (CF) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.212 | 0.282 | 0.295 |
| Steven Matz (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.262 | 0.333 |