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Nationals (+161) at Astros (-185)
Over/Under: 7.5 (-102/-118)

Game Pick: Astros (Probablity Correct: 70.64%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 50.43%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Nationals12142
Astros391
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Oct 23, 2019 08:31:15 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 29.36%
Prob Home Team Wins: 70.64%
Average Comb Score: 8.00
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.95
Prob Over: 49.57%
Prob Under: 50.43%

Astros's Starting Hurler Justin Verlander with a Predicted Home Win Over the Nationals

Wed, Oct 23, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

October 23, 2019 -- The Astros have a 69.95% chance of winning at home against the Nationals according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Astros's Justin Verlander and the Nationals's Stephen Strasburg. Justin Verlander is estimated from the model to throw for 7.309 innings, allowing 1.475 earned runs, with 5.644 Ks. Stephen Strasburg is estimated to have 2.324 earned runs, 21.812 outs, and 5.170 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Yordan Alvarez and Anthony Rendon from Astros and Nationals, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 0.619 RBIs and score 0.547 runs over an estimated 3.691 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.223 with 0.402 RBIs and 0.422 runs scored.

With -185 money line odds and a forecasted 69.95% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Astros over the Nationals.

Posted at Wed, October 23, 2019 13:01:20 UTC


Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4.310.370.890.260.250.2000.2460.336
Adam Eaton (RF)4.060.330.790.230.330.1910.2590.293
Anthony Rendon (3B)3.890.430.900.420.410.2250.3090.430
Juan Soto (LF)3.720.370.750.400.540.1970.2990.380
Howie Kendrick (DH)3.920.320.970.450.230.2420.2900.402
Asdrubal Cabrera (2B)3.770.230.580.270.290.1510.2140.253
Ryan Zimmerman (1B)3.720.230.630.240.250.1660.2160.267
Kurt Suzuki (C)3.610.280.640.320.170.1720.2200.315
Victor Robles (CF)3.450.230.580.200.140.1630.2170.272

Astros Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
George Springer (CF)4.370.691.090.590.530.2440.3300.491
Jose Altuve (2B)4.490.581.140.550.320.2470.2990.459
Michael Brantley (LF)4.350.541.170.460.330.2620.3180.425
Alex Bregman (3B)3.840.620.960.590.720.2450.3700.489
Yulieski Gurriel (1B)4.240.511.060.610.230.2440.2870.446
Yordan Alvarez (DH)3.830.621.050.700.550.2680.3600.567
Carlos Correa (SS)3.860.500.910.610.410.2310.3070.475
Robinson Chirinos (C)3.650.420.730.390.410.1940.2910.363
Josh Reddick (RF)3.830.370.890.360.230.2260.2680.335

Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Stephen Strasburg21.655.402.930.272.386.6529.25%

Astros Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Justin Verlander23.515.632.260.321.507.2970.29%

2019-10-23 -- Nationals at Astros

Thu, Oct 24, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Nationals Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4200.2500.4000.250
Adam Eaton (RF)4220.5000.5000.875
Anthony Rendon (3B)4020.1250.2220.250
Juan Soto (LF)3200.5710.6671.286
Howie Kendrick (DH)5110.2220.2220.222
Asdrubal Cabrera (2B)5130.3330.3330.333
Ryan Zimmerman (1B)5010.3330.3330.667
Kurt Suzuki (C)5110.2500.3330.625
Victor Robles (CF)3200.1430.2500.143

Astros Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
George Springer (CF)5000.2500.4000.750
Jose Altuve (2B)5000.4000.4000.500
Michael Brantley (LF)4100.3750.4440.375
Alex Bregman (3B)4120.1250.2220.500
Yulieski Gurriel (1B)4000.3330.3330.556
Yordan Alvarez (DH)3000.5000.6250.500
Carlos Correa (SS)4000.1110.1110.111
Robinson Chirinos (C)2000.0000.0000.000
Josh Reddick (RF)3000.0000.1670.000