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Tigers (+310) at Indians (-370)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-109/-106)

Game Pick: Indians (Probablity Correct: 76.76%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 52.18%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Tigers090
Indians7121
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 19, 2019 07:32:05 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 23.24%
Prob Home Team Wins: 76.76%
Average Comb Score: 8.66
Median Comb Score: 8.00
Std Comb Score: 4.28
Prob Over: 47.82%
Prob Under: 52.18%

Victor Reyes's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Tigers Over the Indians

Thu, Sep 19, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Daniel Norris
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 19, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Tigers have a 72.89% chance to lose to the home town Indians.

This game is a match up between the Tigers's Daniel Norris and the Indians's Mike Clevinger. Daniel Norris is estimated to have 2.847 earned runs, 20.704 outs, and 6.277 strike outs. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mike Clevinger will have 1.680 earned runs, a predicted 23.317 outs, and 8.598 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Victor Reyes of the Tigers will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Francisco Lindor. Victor Reyes is forecast to bring in 0.246 RBIs and 0.392 runs scored, with an 0.298 OBP and 1.036 Ks. According to our game model, Francisco Lindor is estimated to bring in 0.656 RBIs and 0.785 runs scored, with an 0.348 OBP and 0.732 Ks.

According to the +310 ML away odds and an predicted 27.11% chance to win, the Tigers are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 8.5 runs with -106 over odds and a predicted 58.34% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, September 19, 2019 13:03:27 UTC


Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (RF)4.430.381.180.250.200.2590.2910.369
Harold Castro (CF)4.400.311.150.330.110.2550.2720.337
Miguel Cabrera (DH)4.040.311.010.310.360.2440.3070.339
Christin Stewart (LF)3.910.330.820.350.350.2060.2800.349
Jeimer Candelario (1B)3.740.290.640.300.400.1670.2590.273
Jordy Mercer (2B)3.910.330.970.430.180.2420.2790.399
Dawel Lugo (3B)3.860.250.770.310.110.1950.2240.310
Grayson Greiner (C)3.660.240.650.260.210.1720.2190.266
Willi Castro (SS)3.470.240.670.140.210.1850.2440.245

Indians Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor (SS)4.780.781.420.720.370.2910.3440.530
Oscar Mercado (CF)4.660.651.320.570.320.2770.3290.441
Carlos Santana (1B)4.110.721.200.730.830.2870.4050.536
Yasiel Puig (RF)4.280.541.280.520.480.2920.3720.413
Jordan Luplow (LF)4.110.661.180.840.580.2810.3740.547
Franmil Reyes (DH)4.130.540.920.640.490.2160.2970.421
Roberto Perez (C)3.960.580.960.660.470.2360.3190.457
Yu-Cheng Chang (3B)3.870.470.900.400.500.2280.3160.359
Mike Freeman (2B)3.630.540.990.390.500.2660.3630.386

Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Daniel Norris20.557.213.410.292.996.3122.92%

Indians Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Mike Clevinger23.180.181.830.271.727.1676.09%

Tigers Get Blownout by Indians, 0-7

Fri, Sep 20, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Francisco Lindor
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 19, 2019 -- On the road, the Tigers are crushed by the Indians 0 to 7.

Top Indians hitter Francisco Lindor's presence helped for win at home over Tigers's pitching. He had a game batting average of 0.292. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Francisco Lindor had a 0.533 slugging percentage.

Daniel Norris's start did not help them on the road. Throwing 29 strikes in a 42 pitch outing for 1 strikeout. Daniel Norris allowed 1 earned runs over 3.0 innings pitched. The pitcher allowed 0.327 OBP. The Tigers pitcher threw for 3 hits and 0 walks allowed.

Jordy Mercer led the Tigers in hitting against the Indians's pitching. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.274. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.448. He had 0 Ks in the game. He had a 0.314 OBP with 3 at bats. The Tigers hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing.

Posted at Fri, September 20, 2019 03:31:14 UTC


Tigers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (RF)5000.3000.3310.429
Harold Castro (CF)4000.3000.3150.397
Miguel Cabrera (DH)3000.2840.3500.391
Christin Stewart (LF)4000.2420.3170.407
Jeimer Candelario (1B)3000.1970.3000.322
Jordy Mercer (2B)3000.2740.3140.448
Dawel Lugo (3B)3000.2320.2610.370
Grayson Greiner (C)4000.2100.2620.323
Willi Castro (SS)4000.2180.2790.269

Indians Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor (SS)5200.2920.3430.533
Oscar Mercado (CF)3110.2790.3290.442
Carlos Santana (1B)3110.2820.3980.526
Yasiel Puig (RF)4210.3000.3760.425
Jordan Luplow (LF)2000.2800.3680.545
Franmil Reyes (DH)3120.2210.2970.441
Roberto Perez (C)4020.2400.3220.456
Yu-Cheng Chang (3B)4000.1930.2920.298
Mike Freeman (2B)3000.2760.3740.401