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Royals (+220) at Twins (-263)
Over/Under: 10.5 (-102/-114)

Game Pick: Twins (Probablity Correct: 76.98%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 66.43%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Royals5100
Twins8101
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 19, 2019 08:32:20 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 23.02%
Prob Home Team Wins: 76.98%
Average Comb Score: 13.18
Median Comb Score: 13.00
Std Comb Score: 5.48
Prob Over: 66.43%
Prob Under: 33.57%

Visiting Royals Hurler Mike Montgomery Predicted Loser Against Twins

Thu, Sep 19, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Cubs at Orioles 7/14/17
Keith Allison License

September 19, 2019 -- The Royals predicted with a 68.95% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Twins based on the Snoozle Sports model

Likely visiting starter Mike Montgomery will will duel it out with the Twins probable starter Kyle Gibson. The Royals's Mike Montgomery is predicted to throw for 6.101 innings, allowing 3.615 earned runs, with 5.805 Ks. The Twins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.747 outs, allow 2.451 earned runs, and a 0.014 probability of a complete game.

Jorge Soler, Royals's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Jonathan Schoop in today's game. Jorge Soler RF is forecast to bring in 0.755 RBIs and 0.672 runs scored, with an 0.342 OBP and 1.222 Ks. Jonathan Schoop is forecast to bat for 0.294 with 0.805 RBIs and 0.762 runs scored.

There is no best value for Royals +220 at Twins -263 matchup based on our model's game predictions. According to prediction model the 54.04% over estimate and -102 line odds for 10.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 19, 2019 13:03:27 UTC


Royals Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Whit Merrifield (RF)4.570.661.400.470.330.3000.3510.466
Raul Mondesi (SS)4.600.561.240.500.210.2640.2940.429
Jorge Soler (DH)4.130.721.090.770.500.2570.3440.562
Hunter Dozier (3B)4.110.591.190.690.460.2840.3570.537
Alex Gordon (LF)4.010.451.090.490.380.2630.3420.399
Ryan McBroom (1B)4.000.381.030.410.360.2500.3140.364
Erick Mejia (CF)3.840.380.950.450.400.2410.3150.376
Meibrys Viloria (C)3.900.300.810.300.260.2020.2510.275
Nicky Lopez (2B)3.870.330.880.290.170.2210.2540.292

Twins Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Mitch Garver (C)4.691.211.501.200.680.3120.4080.718
Jorge Polanco (SS)4.780.971.630.770.540.3350.4040.551
Nelson Cruz (DH)4.511.061.541.130.650.3340.4250.684
Eddie Rosario (RF)4.920.871.591.060.220.3160.3450.574
Miguel Sano (3B)4.260.971.191.020.740.2730.3820.634
Marwin Gonzalez (1B)4.460.761.380.710.380.3010.3630.478
Luis Arraez (LF)4.240.801.700.580.540.3920.4610.510
Jonathan Schoop (2B)4.330.791.330.940.250.2990.3530.558
Ryan LaMarre (CF)4.290.811.430.830.200.3260.3660.553

Royals Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Mike Montgomery19.236.423.010.363.985.8722.76%

Twins Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Kyle Gibson21.550.902.430.262.626.6472.77%

Jorge Polanco's Twins at Home Beat the Royals, 8-5

Fri, Sep 20, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jorge Polanco
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 19, 2019 -- Jorge Polanco's hitting at home leads the Twins over the Royals.

Top Twins hitter Jorge Polanco's presence helped for win at home over Royals's pitching. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. He had a game batting average of 0.299. He had a 0.360 OBP with 5 at bats. The team's leading slugger had a 0.491 slugging percentage in the game.

Slugger Hunter Dozier's performance on the bases, could not overcome Twins's defense against starter Mike Montgomery. His batting average was 0.280 in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. He had a 0.533 slugging percentage in the game. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. With 5 at bats, Hunter Dozier had a 0.351 OBP.

The Royals starter Mike Montgomery could not help the offense to pull out the win. The hurler gave up 5 earned runs in 4.0 innings. Throwing 50 strikes in a 88 pitch outing for 3 strikeouts. The Royals pitcher threw for 7 hits and 1 walk allowed.

Posted at Fri, September 20, 2019 03:31:14 UTC


Royals Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Whit Merrifield (RF)4000.3030.3510.465
Raul Mondesi (SS)4020.2650.2940.428
Jorge Soler (DH)3010.2560.3440.553
Hunter Dozier (3B)5000.2800.3510.533
Alex Gordon (LF)5100.2660.3410.399
Ryan McBroom (1B)5000.2710.3270.354
Erick Mejia (CF)2100.2220.4290.222
Meibrys Viloria (C)2110.2150.2630.289
Nicky Lopez (2B)4210.2310.2630.300

Twins Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Mitch Garver (C)3310.2790.3700.646
Jorge Polanco (SS)5100.2990.3600.491
Nelson Cruz (DH)4250.2990.3840.626
Eddie Rosario (RF)4100.2790.3020.502
Miguel Sano (3B)3120.2420.3410.562
Marwin Gonzalez (1B)4000.2630.3220.415
Luis Arraez (LF)3000.3460.4120.446
Jonathan Schoop (2B)4000.2550.3050.474
Ryan LaMarre (CF)3000.3000.4170.600