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Giants (+148) at Red Sox (-172)
Over/Under: 9.5 (+112/-130)
Game Pick: Giants (Probablity Correct: 57.26%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 68.76%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Red Sox | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 19, 2019 03:31:53 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 57.26%
Prob Home Team Wins: 42.74%
Average Comb Score: 7.98
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.99
Prob Over: 31.24%
Prob Under: 68.76%
Giants Led By Hitter Mike Yastrzemski on the Road Forecasted to Beat Favored Red Sox
Thu, Sep 19, 2019 | Emma Botos
Madison Bumgarner
SD Dirk on Flickr License
September 19, 2019 -- The Giants are predicted with a 54.27% for a road win against the Red Sox.
The Giants have Madison Bumgarner as the probable starting pitcher against Eduardo Rodriguez. The Giants starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.135 outs, allow 2.220 earned runs, and a 0.018 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Eduardo Rodriguez will have 2.314 earned runs, a predicted 22.004 outs, and 6.160 strike outs.
The Giants's Mike Yastrzemski and the Red Sox's Xander Bogaerts will slug it out from the plate. Mike Yastrzemski is forecast to bring in 0.583 RBIs and 0.660 runs scored, with an 0.328 OBP and 1.313 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Xander Bogaerts is predicted to have 0.521 RBIs and score 0.625 runs over an estimated 4.213 at-bats.
The Giants are the best value for the money line based on the +140 odds and a forecasted 54.27% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 63.16% over estimate and -130 line odds for 9.5 runs.
Posted at Thu, September 19, 2019 13:03:27 UTC
Giants Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon (SS) | 4.49 | 0.53 | 1.10 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.241 | 0.302 | 0.382 |
| Austin Slater (RF) | 4.17 | 0.54 | 1.08 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 0.254 | 0.357 | 0.457 |
| Kevin Pillar (CF) | 4.59 | 0.38 | 1.03 | 0.42 | 0.11 | 0.218 | 0.243 | 0.341 |
| Evan Longoria (3B) | 4.16 | 0.50 | 1.11 | 0.59 | 0.40 | 0.261 | 0.334 | 0.453 |
| Buster Posey (C) | 4.12 | 0.41 | 1.07 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.254 | 0.318 | 0.367 |
| Joey Rickard (LF) | 3.84 | 0.41 | 0.79 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.201 | 0.303 | 0.343 |
| Jaylin Davis (DH) | 3.87 | 0.40 | 0.88 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.221 | 0.297 | 0.329 |
| Cristhian Adames (2B) | 3.82 | 0.45 | 1.04 | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.267 | 0.328 | 0.413 |
| Aramis Garcia (1B) | 3.84 | 0.50 | 0.97 | 0.67 | 0.24 | 0.246 | 0.290 | 0.485 |
Red Sox Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi (LF) | 4.29 | 0.53 | 1.02 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 0.231 | 0.305 | 0.377 |
| Christian Vazquez (C) | 4.41 | 0.51 | 1.07 | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.236 | 0.274 | 0.409 |
| Rafael Devers (3B) | 4.21 | 0.54 | 1.19 | 0.54 | 0.30 | 0.277 | 0.328 | 0.499 |
| Xander Bogaerts (DH) | 3.97 | 0.49 | 1.09 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.269 | 0.345 | 0.490 |
| Brock Holt (1B) | 3.86 | 0.31 | 1.10 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.278 | 0.355 | 0.374 |
| Gorkys Hernandez (RF) | 4.02 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.182 | 0.219 | 0.281 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF) | 3.65 | 0.33 | 0.72 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.193 | 0.283 | 0.364 |
| Chris Owings (SS) | 3.72 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 0.131 | 0.192 | 0.190 |
| Marco Hernandez (2B) | 3.74 | 0.31 | 0.89 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.232 | 0.259 | 0.319 |
Giants Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 22.44 | 5.85 | 2.27 | 0.28 | 2.07 | 6.94 | 57.00% |
Red Sox Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 21.88 | 6.14 | 2.51 | 0.39 | 2.35 | 6.74 | 42.13% |
Giants Hurler Madison Bumgarner Effort Not Enough Against Red Sox, 4-5
Thu, Sep 19, 2019 | Emma Botos
Madison Bumgarner
SD Dirk on Flickr License
September 19, 2019 -- Madison Bumgarner pitching outing ends in a close loss for the Giants at the Red Sox, 4 to 5.
The Madison Bumgarner start could not help the Red Sox from a win. The Red Sox had 7 strikeouts against Madison Bumgarner. The hurler gave up 5 earned runs in 5.0 innings. The pitcher allowed 0.286 OBP.
Slugger Austin Slater could not achieve the Giants road win over the Red Sox's pitching. He had a 0.447 slugging percentage in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. Austin Slater had a 0.352 OBP with 3 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.250.
Mauricio Dubon led the Giants in hitting against the Red Sox's pitching. The Giants hitter had 0 RBI and scored 2 runs in the road outing. He had 0 Ks in the game. He had a 0.315 OBP with 2 at bats. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.464. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.275.
Posted at Thu, September 19, 2019 20:32:25 UTC
Giants Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Dubon (SS) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.275 | 0.315 | 0.464 |
| Austin Slater (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.352 | 0.447 |
| Kevin Pillar (CF) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.267 | 0.294 | 0.452 |
| Evan Longoria (3B) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.258 | 0.328 | 0.444 |
| Buster Posey (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.254 | 0.318 | 0.362 |
| Joey Rickard (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.263 | 0.333 | 0.368 |
| Jaylin Davis (DH) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.130 | 0.259 | 0.130 |
| Cristhian Adames (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 0.400 |
| Aramis Garcia (1B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.133 | 0.212 | 0.367 |
Red Sox Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi (LF) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.268 | 0.346 | 0.437 |
| Christian Vazquez (C) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.273 | 0.313 | 0.471 |
| Rafael Devers (3B) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.311 | 0.362 | 0.555 |
| Xander Bogaerts (DH) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.303 | 0.379 | 0.549 |
| Brock Holt (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.309 | 0.383 | 0.419 |
| Gorkys Hernandez (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.222 | 0.320 | 0.421 |
| Chris Owings (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.128 | 0.192 | 0.213 |
| Marco Hernandez (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.260 | 0.289 | 0.358 |