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Dodgers (-320) at Orioles (+280)
Over/Under: 10.0 (+100/-120) PUSH
Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 91.81%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 66.92%) PUSH
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 7 | 13 | 1 |
| Orioles | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 10, 2019 07:32:24 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 91.81%
Prob Home Team Wins: 8.19%
Average Comb Score: 13.31
Median Comb Score: 13.00
Std Comb Score: 5.58
Prob Over: 66.92%
Prob Under: 33.08%
Dodgers Led By Pitcher Walker Buehler on the Road Predicted to Beat the Orioles
Tue, Sep 10, 2019 | Emma Botos
Ty Blach pitching for the San Francisco Giants against the San Diego Padres on July 24, 2017.
Don DeBold on flickr License
September 10, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Walker Buehler and Ty Blach, the Dodgers has an predicted 85.94% chance for a road over the Orioles.
This game is a match up between the Dodgers's Walker Buehler and the Orioles's Ty Blach. The Dodgers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 23.343 outs, allow 1.616 earned runs, and a 0.052 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 5.850 innings, allowing 3.991 earned runs, with a 3.647 walks.
Sluggers Joc Pederson from the Dodgers and Trey Mancini from the Orioles will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Joc Pederson is predicted to bat for 0.308 with 1.030 RBIs and 1.164 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Trey Mancini is predicted to have 0.409 RBIs and score 0.464 runs over an estimated 4.036 at-bats.
The Dodgers are the best value for the money line based on the -320 odds and a forecasted 85.94% win estimate. According to prediction model the 52.57% over estimate and +100 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, September 10, 2019 13:05:00 UTC
Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock (LF) | 5.07 | 1.16 | 1.63 | 0.84 | 0.53 | 0.316 | 0.388 | 0.568 |
| David Freese (1B) | 4.61 | 1.34 | 1.72 | 1.10 | 0.91 | 0.366 | 0.473 | 0.741 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 4.71 | 1.13 | 1.69 | 1.10 | 0.60 | 0.352 | 0.440 | 0.617 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 4.40 | 1.18 | 1.60 | 1.34 | 0.94 | 0.358 | 0.471 | 0.749 |
| Chris Taylor (RF) | 4.63 | 0.87 | 1.52 | 1.01 | 0.59 | 0.320 | 0.399 | 0.568 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 4.57 | 0.88 | 1.47 | 0.93 | 0.54 | 0.314 | 0.391 | 0.540 |
| Enrique Hernandez (2B) | 4.45 | 0.91 | 1.35 | 0.98 | 0.50 | 0.296 | 0.376 | 0.535 |
| Will Smith (C) | 4.30 | 1.11 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 0.54 | 0.322 | 0.406 | 0.754 |
| Joc Pederson (DH) | 4.10 | 1.01 | 1.27 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 0.303 | 0.404 | 0.654 |
Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4.20 | 0.43 | 0.96 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.222 | 0.282 | 0.360 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 4.04 | 0.46 | 0.93 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.225 | 0.295 | 0.421 |
| Anthony Santander (LF) | 4.15 | 0.39 | 0.97 | 0.46 | 0.17 | 0.228 | 0.260 | 0.406 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 3.93 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.199 | 0.256 | 0.382 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 3.81 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.185 | 0.248 | 0.293 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 3.91 | 0.27 | 1.04 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 0.259 | 0.279 | 0.362 |
| Mason Williams (CF) | 3.76 | 0.23 | 0.86 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.223 | 0.251 | 0.309 |
| DJ Stewart (RF) | 3.52 | 0.22 | 0.67 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.185 | 0.246 | 0.240 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 3.31 | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.175 | 0.256 | 0.332 |
Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler | 23.24 | 6.27 | 1.94 | 0.25 | 1.65 | 7.18 | 90.86% |
Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Blach | 18.33 | 6.94 | 3.89 | 0.47 | 4.54 | 5.58 | 7.45% |
Walker Buehler Comes Out Victorious in a Dodgers at Orioles Matchup, 7-3
Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License
September 10, 2019 -- In a pitching match up between Walker Buehler and Ty Blach, the Dodgers hurler helps led the team for a road over the Orioles, 7 to 3.
The Dodgers's starting pitcher Walker Buehler led team on the mound. Walker Buehler allowed 0 earned runs over 7.0 innings pitched. A 3.14 ERA and 0.268 OBP in the appearance against the Orioles. Dodgers's starter allowed 4 hits and 0 walks. Throwing 66 strikes in a 91 pitch outing for 11 strikeout.
Slugger Jonathan Villar could not pull out the Orioles home win over the Dodgers's pitching. He had a 0.344 OBP with 4 at bats. The Orioles hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. The team's leading slugger had a 0.453 slugging percentage in the game. He had a game batting average of 0.277. He gave up 0 Ks in the game.
Ty Blach's pitching start could not pull out the win for the Orioles. A 12.00 ERA and 0.407 OBP in the appearance against Dodgers. The Orioles hurler threw for 9 hits and 1 walk allowed. The pitcher allowed 6 earned runs over 2.1 innings pitched. Throwing 43 strikes in a 64 pitch outing for 3 strikeouts.
Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 02:32:35 UTC
Dodgers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.322 | 0.464 |
| David Freese (1B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.313 | 0.409 | 0.619 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 471 | 0 | 67 | 0.291 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.306 | 0.410 | 0.639 |
| Chris Taylor (RF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.266 | 0.337 | 0.473 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.263 | 0.329 | 0.463 |
| Enrique Hernandez (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.242 | 0.312 | 0.428 |
| Will Smith (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.271 | 0.344 | 0.624 |
| Joc Pederson (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.338 | 0.537 |
Orioles Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.277 | 0.344 | 0.453 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.277 | 0.350 | 0.513 |
| Anthony Santander (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.281 | 0.315 | 0.506 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.251 | 0.314 | 0.471 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.234 | 0.305 | 0.370 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.320 | 0.341 | 0.446 |
| Mason Williams (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.353 | 0.333 | 0.412 |
| DJ Stewart (RF) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.235 | 0.301 | 0.318 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.214 | 0.316 | 0.409 |