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Brewers (-175) at Marlins (+165)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Brewers (Probablity Correct: 75.25%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 61.35%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Marlins | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 10, 2019 08:32:18 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 75.25%
Prob Home Team Wins: 24.75%
Average Comb Score: 7.74
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.98
Prob Over: 38.65%
Prob Under: 61.35%
Brewers Led By Pitcher Chase Anderson on the Road Predicted to Beat the Marlins
Tue, Sep 10, 2019 | Emma Botos
Chase Anderson before the Milwaukee Brewers play the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 4, 2017
Willsome429 License
September 10, 2019 -- The visiting Brewers has an estimated 60.19% chance to overcome the Marlins based on our model.
The Brewers have Chase Anderson as the probable starting pitcher against Elieser Hernandez. The Brewers's Chase Anderson is predicted to throw for 6.688 innings, allowing 1.993 earned runs, with 6.816 Ks. The Marlins starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.651 outs, allow 2.296 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game.
Eric Thames, Brewers's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Garrett Cooper in today's game. The Brewers's Eric Thames NA from the plate is forecast to score 0.556 runs, 0.705 RBIs and have a 0.351 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Garrett Cooper is predicted to have 0.531 RBIs and score 0.503 runs over an estimated 4.264 at-bats.
For this matchup Marlins are the best value on the money line bets with on the +165 home ML odds and a forecasted 39.81% chance to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 58.54% over estimate and -115 line odds for 8.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, September 10, 2019 13:05:00 UTC
Brewers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4.57 | 0.68 | 1.22 | 0.29 | 0.45 | 0.261 | 0.334 | 0.365 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 4.08 | 0.84 | 1.07 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 0.256 | 0.386 | 0.490 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 4.09 | 0.91 | 1.39 | 0.97 | 0.70 | 0.335 | 0.438 | 0.689 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 4.08 | 0.66 | 1.09 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 0.262 | 0.367 | 0.528 |
| Ryan Braun (LF) | 4.27 | 0.52 | 1.25 | 0.77 | 0.31 | 0.288 | 0.345 | 0.497 |
| Cory Spangenberg (2B) | 4.24 | 0.34 | 1.06 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 0.244 | 0.289 | 0.385 |
| Hernan Perez (SS) | 4.21 | 0.35 | 1.04 | 0.48 | 0.22 | 0.242 | 0.278 | 0.377 |
| Travis Shaw (3B) | 3.68 | 0.35 | 0.59 | 0.31 | 0.57 | 0.157 | 0.279 | 0.268 |
| Chase Anderson (P) | 3.88 | 0.24 | 0.68 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.171 | 0.217 | 0.171 |
Marlins Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas (SS) | 4.32 | 0.46 | 1.25 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.282 | 0.338 | 0.378 |
| Lewis Brinson (CF) | 4.25 | 0.32 | 0.78 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.179 | 0.236 | 0.240 |
| Garrett Cooper (1B) | 4.07 | 0.46 | 1.16 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 0.278 | 0.343 | 0.441 |
| Starlin Castro (3B) | 4.19 | 0.37 | 1.12 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.262 | 0.293 | 0.411 |
| Jorge Alfaro (C) | 4.02 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 0.52 | 0.17 | 0.269 | 0.312 | 0.412 |
| Isan Diaz (2B) | 3.64 | 0.19 | 0.53 | 0.22 | 0.50 | 0.141 | 0.250 | 0.214 |
| Austin Dean (LF) | 3.93 | 0.23 | 0.79 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.196 | 0.223 | 0.328 |
| Magneuris Sierra (RF) | 3.75 | 0.12 | 0.75 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.194 | 0.229 | 0.205 |
| Elieser Hernandez (P) | 2.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Brewers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 22.73 | 6.79 | 1.72 | 0.27 | 1.56 | 7.02 | 74.33% |
Marlins Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elieser Hernandez | 21.05 | 7.36 | 3.27 | 0.33 | 2.71 | 6.47 | 24.33% |
Eric Thames Effort Helps the Brewers Beat the Marlins, 4-3
Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos
Christian Yelich with the Milwaukee Brewers
Ian D'Andrea License
September 10, 2019 -- The Brewers barely beat the Marlins, 4 to 3 for a road win.
Eric Thames 1B led the Brewers led in hitting against the Marlins's pitching. He had a 0.255 batting average in the game. In 3 at bats, the hitter had a 0.357 OBP. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.510.
The Brewers's starting pitcher Chase Anderson led team on the mound. Brewers's starter allowed 3 hits and 2 walks. Chase Anderson allowed 2 earned runs over 4.0 innings pitched. Throwing 45 strikes in a 64 pitch outing for 2 strikeouts. The pitcher allowed 0.324 OBP.
Slugger Christian Yelich offense on the road helped the Brewers over the Marlins's pitching. He had a 0.671 slugging percentage in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. His batting average was 0.329 in the game. Christian Yelich had a 0.429 OBP with 1 at bat.
Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 03:32:08 UTC
Brewers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.321 | 0.353 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.254 | 0.380 | 0.483 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.329 | 0.429 | 0.671 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.255 | 0.357 | 0.510 |
| Ryan Braun (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.338 | 0.484 |
| Cory Spangenberg (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.245 | 0.273 | 0.377 |
| Hernan Perez (SS) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.239 | 0.276 | 0.388 |
| Travis Shaw (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.151 | 0.269 | 0.257 |
| Chase Anderson (P) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.057 | 0.108 | 0.086 |
Marlins Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rojas (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.338 | 0.381 |
| Lewis Brinson (CF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.182 | 0.238 | 0.241 |
| Garrett Cooper (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.280 | 0.345 | 0.441 |
| Starlin Castro (3B) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.269 | 0.298 | 0.424 |
| Jorge Alfaro (C) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.274 | 0.319 | 0.423 |
| Isan Diaz (2B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.158 | 0.260 | 0.237 |
| Austin Dean (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.210 | 0.233 | 0.347 |
| Magneuris Sierra (RF) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.294 | 0.250 |
| Elieser Hernandez (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.056 | 0.105 | 0.056 |