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Yankees (+140) at Dodgers (-150)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 77.38%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 64.38%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| Dodgers | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 23, 2019 11:31:24 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 22.62%
Prob Home Team Wins: 77.38%
Average Comb Score: 10.70
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.78
Prob Over: 64.38%
Prob Under: 35.62%
Giovanny Urshela's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Yankees Over the Dodgers
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 23, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Yankees are likely to fail on the road with a 71.69% chance of being correct against the Dodgers.
This game is a match up between the Yankees's James Paxton and the Dodgers's Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Yankees's James Paxton is predicted to throw for 6.217 innings, allowing 3.043 earned runs, with 6.282 Ks. Our model forecasts the Dodgers pitcher will have an outing for 7.116 innings, allowing 1.725 earned runs, with a 2.323 walks.
Giovanny Urshela, Yankees's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Cody Bellinger in today's game. Giovanny Urshela is forecast to bring in 0.442 RBIs and 0.424 runs scored, with an 0.302 OBP and 0.729 Ks. Cody Bellinger is forecast to bat for 0.325 with 1.060 RBIs and 0.845 runs scored.
Based on the -150 odds and an estimated 71.69% chance to win, the Dodgers are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 58.57% over estimate and -110 line odds for 8.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC
Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 4.37 | 0.48 | 1.16 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.259 | 0.303 | 0.414 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 3.92 | 0.44 | 0.82 | 0.36 | 0.59 | 0.204 | 0.309 | 0.356 |
| Gleyber Torres (2B) | 4.09 | 0.44 | 0.92 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.219 | 0.277 | 0.417 |
| Gary Sanchez (C) | 4.00 | 0.42 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.27 | 0.173 | 0.234 | 0.384 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 4.09 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.192 | 0.217 | 0.337 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 3.90 | 0.41 | 1.05 | 0.37 | 0.19 | 0.262 | 0.301 | 0.440 |
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 3.66 | 0.34 | 0.72 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.190 | 0.259 | 0.365 |
| Cameron Maybin (LF) | 3.53 | 0.36 | 0.85 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.235 | 0.305 | 0.395 |
| James Paxton (P) | 3.51 | 0.25 | 0.62 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.170 | 0.216 | 0.269 |
Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock (CF) | 4.73 | 0.88 | 1.33 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.275 | 0.348 | 0.483 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 4.48 | 0.96 | 1.41 | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.308 | 0.397 | 0.530 |
| Will Smith (C) | 4.42 | 1.16 | 1.46 | 1.34 | 0.52 | 0.324 | 0.407 | 0.837 |
| Cody Bellinger (RF) | 4.18 | 0.95 | 1.40 | 1.05 | 0.73 | 0.328 | 0.430 | 0.690 |
| Max Muncy (1B) | 4.02 | 0.76 | 1.11 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.268 | 0.390 | 0.562 |
| Chris Taylor (LF) | 4.19 | 0.58 | 1.20 | 0.64 | 0.51 | 0.279 | 0.358 | 0.496 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 4.11 | 0.55 | 1.18 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.281 | 0.359 | 0.473 |
| Enrique Hernandez (2B) | 4.05 | 0.53 | 1.03 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.247 | 0.322 | 0.445 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu (P) | 3.87 | 0.34 | 0.69 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.173 | 0.233 | 0.202 |
Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | 19.94 | 6.68 | 3.52 | 0.42 | 3.34 | 6.12 | 22.08% |
Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 23.09 | 6.84 | 2.25 | 0.14 | 1.74 | 7.12 | 76.47% |
James Paxton Comes Out Victorious in a Yankees at Dodgers Matchup, 10-2
Sat, Aug 24, 2019 | Emma Botos
James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 23, 2019 -- The Yankees win big on the road against the Dodgers 10 to 2.
The Yankees starter James Paxton helped the home team limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. The pitcher allowed 0.333 OBP. The hurler gave up 2 earned runs in 6.2 innings. Throwing 71 strikes in a 109 pitch outing for 11 strikeout.
Will Smith's leadership for the Dodgers was not enough for a loss against the Yankees. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.304. He had a 0.377 OBP with 4 at bats. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Yankees.
The Yankees star Brett Gardner's presence on the road helped the team over the Dodgers's pitching. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.253. Brett Gardner had a 0.333 OBP with 5 at bats. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. He had a 0.480 slugging percentage in the game. On the road, he had 1 RBI and scored 0 runs.
Posted at Sat, August 24, 2019 13:03:50 UTC
Yankees Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.332 | 0.378 | 0.528 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0.270 | 0.387 | 0.474 |
| Gleyber Torres (2B) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.287 | 0.350 | 0.551 |
| Gary Sanchez (C) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.238 | 0.311 | 0.528 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.267 | 0.295 | 0.487 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.337 | 0.377 | 0.570 |
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.253 | 0.333 | 0.480 |
| Cameron Maybin (LF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.298 | 0.377 | 0.503 |
| James Paxton (P) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Dodgers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock (CF) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.265 | 0.330 | 0.456 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.291 | 0.375 | 0.500 |
| Will Smith (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.304 | 0.377 | 0.783 |
| Cody Bellinger (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.314 | 0.411 | 0.662 |
| Max Muncy (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.374 | 0.535 |
| Chris Taylor (LF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.271 | 0.343 | 0.476 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.272 | 0.344 | 0.464 |
| Enrique Hernandez (2B) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.242 | 0.312 | 0.435 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu (P) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.122 | 0.200 | 0.146 |